Predictions › United States › TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona Wildcats
College FootballFri 6 Nov, 22:15 United States time

TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona Wildcats prediction

Casino Del Sol Stadium

TCU Horned FrogsAway
14.7 : 28.6
projected points
Arizona WildcatsHome
19%TCU
81%Arizona
Eagle safe pickArizona to win
-437

Quick answer

Our prediction for TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona Wildcats is Arizona Wildcats to win, with a 81% chance. We project TCU Horned Frogs 14.7 and Arizona Wildcats 28.6. Our best bet is Arizona to win at -437.

Prediction
Arizona Wildcats to win
Chance
81%
Projected score
TCU Horned Frogs 15, Arizona Wildcats 29
Projected total
43.3 points
Best bet
Arizona to win at -437

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Arizona to win
81% chanceFair price -4372 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Arizona Wildcats 81% and TCU Horned Frogs 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Arizona Wildcats won 5 of their last 5 and TCU Horned Frogs won 2 of their last 5. Arizona Wildcats come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Arizona Wildcats won 8 of their last 9 games at home. TCU Horned Frogs won 3 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Arizona Wildcats score 31.9 points a game and let in 19.9. TCU Horned Frogs score 27.1 and let in 21.7. Their recent games average 51.9 and 48.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Arizona to win has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona Wildcats: Arizona Wildcats are favourites

The big picture

Arizona Wildcats host TCU Horned Frogs in the College Football on Fri 6 Nov, 22:15 at Casino Del Sol Stadium. Our prediction for TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona Wildcats is Arizona Wildcats to win, with a 81% chance. We project TCU Horned Frogs 14.7 and Arizona Wildcats 28.6. Our best bet is Arizona to win at -437.

Arizona Wildcats form

Arizona Wildcats have 13 wins and 5 losses in their last 18 games, with 575 points scored and 359 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

TCU Horned Frogs form

TCU Horned Frogs have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 515 points scored and 412 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect TCU Horned Frogs to score about 14.7 points and Arizona Wildcats about 28.6. That points to Arizona Wildcats to win. Our safest bet is Arizona to win at -437.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

ArizonaTCU
Games played1819
Wins1311
Losses58
Points scored575515
Points conceded359412
Scored per game31.927.1
Conceded per game19.921.7
Home record8W 1L8W 4L
Away record5W 4L3W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Arizona spreadCoversFair
Arizona -20.534%+195
Arizona -16.543%+130
Arizona -13.551%-104
Arizona -10.558%-140
Arizona -6.568%-210
Total pointsOverUnder
36.566%34%
40.557%43%
43.549%51%
46.542%58%
50.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Arizona +3.5 wins if Arizona win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona Wildcats?

Our prediction for TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona Wildcats is Arizona Wildcats to win, with a 81% chance. We project TCU Horned Frogs 14.7 and Arizona Wildcats 28.6. Our best bet is Arizona to win at -437.

What is the projected score for TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona Wildcats?

We project TCU Horned Frogs 14.7 and Arizona Wildcats 28.6, about 43.3 points in total.

How are Arizona Wildcats playing?

Arizona Wildcats have 13 wins and 5 losses in their last 18 games, with 575 points scored and 359 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are TCU Horned Frogs playing?

TCU Horned Frogs have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 515 points scored and 412 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona Wildcats?

Arizona to win at -437, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Arizona against TCU. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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