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Predictions › Netherlands › Telstar vs ADO Den Haag
EredivisieSun 11 Oct, 12:30 Netherlands time

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag prediction

711 Stadion

TelstarHome
1.68 : 1.20
expected goals
ADO Den HaagAway
48%Telstar
25%Draw
27%ADO Den Haag
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Telstar vs ADO Den Haag is Telstar to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Telstar to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Telstar 1.7, ADO Den Haag 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Telstar to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Telstar 48%, the draw 25% and ADO Den Haag 27%. The bookmakers agree and make Telstar the favourite at 1.95.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Telstar took 2 points from their last 5 games and ADO Den Haag took 2 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Telstar won 4 of their last 9 games at home. ADO Den Haag won 0 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Telstar score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.5. ADO Den Haag score 1.0 and let in 2.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Telstar games and 4 of ADO Den Haag games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Telstarrecent form-4%
  • ADO Den Haagrecent form-4%
Telstar form L D L D LADO Den Haag form D L L D LHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag: Telstar are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Telstar host ADO Den Haag in the Eredivisie on Sun 11 Oct, 12:30 at 711 Stadion. Our prediction for Telstar vs ADO Den Haag is Telstar to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Telstar form

Telstar have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, L, newest first.

ADO Den Haag form

ADO Den Haag have 0 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 7 games, with 7 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Telstar to score about 1.7 goals and ADO Den Haag about 1.2. That points to Telstar to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Telstar to win and Over 2.5 at 3.31.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TelstarADO Den Haag
Games played207
Wins70
Draws52
Losses85
Goals scored297
Goals conceded3017
Scored per game1.41.0
Conceded per game1.52.4
Home record4W 2D 3L0W 1D 2L
Away record3W 3D 5L0W 1D 3L
Clean sheets15%0%
Both teams scored60%71%
Over 2.5 goals65%57%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Telstar to win45%2.231.95-12.4%
A Draw25%4.023.60-10.4%
ADO Den Haag to win26%3.833.45-9.8%
Over 3.5 goals36%2.812.30-18.2%
Under 3.5 goals61%1.651.51-8.3%
Telstar -0.545%2.201.87-14.9%
ADO Den Haag +0.549%2.061.77-14.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.27
Over 2.5 goals55%1.82
Over 3.5 goals33%3.07
Both teams to score58%1.74
Telstar or Draw73%1.37
ADO Den Haag or Draw52%1.91
Telstar to win and Over 2.531%3.21
ADO Den Haag to win and Over 2.517%6.01
Telstar clean sheet30%3.33
ADO Den Haag clean sheet19%5.34

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.0%
2-19.5%
1-08.7%
2-07.9%
1-26.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?

Our prediction for Telstar vs ADO Den Haag is Telstar to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Telstar to score 1.7 goals and ADO Den Haag 1.2.

Will both teams score in Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Telstar last 20 games and 5 of ADO Den Haag last 7.

How are Telstar playing?

Telstar have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, L, newest first.

How are ADO Den Haag playing?

ADO Den Haag have 0 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 7 games, with 7 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Telstar against ADO Den Haag. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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