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Predictions › Netherlands › Telstar vs FC Utrecht
EredivisieSun 1 Nov, 13:30 Netherlands time

Telstar vs FC Utrecht prediction

711 Stadion

TelstarHome
1.91 : 1.94
expected goals
FC UtrechtAway
38%Telstar
22%Draw
40%FC Utrecht
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Telstar vs FC Utrecht is FC Utrecht to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
FC Utrecht to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Telstar 1.9, FC Utrecht 1.9
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
73%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.331 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Utrecht to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.221 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Telstar 38%, the draw 22% and FC Utrecht 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Telstar took 2 points from their last 5 games and FC Utrecht took 10 from 5. FC Utrecht come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Telstar won 4 of their last 10 games at home. FC Utrecht won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Telstar score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.7. FC Utrecht score 1.9 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Telstar games and 14 of FC Utrecht games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Telstar won 0 and FC Utrecht won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended FC Utrecht 4, Telstar 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Telstarrecent form-3%
  • FC Utrechtrecent form+3%
Telstar form D D L D LFC Utrecht form W W L W DHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Telstar vs FC Utrecht: FC Utrecht shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Telstar host FC Utrecht in the Eredivisie on Sun 1 Nov, 13:30 at 711 Stadion. Our prediction for Telstar vs FC Utrecht is FC Utrecht to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.33.

Telstar form

Telstar have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, L, newest first.

FC Utrecht form

FC Utrecht have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Telstar won 0, FC Utrecht won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished FC Utrecht 4, Telstar 1.

Our call

We expect Telstar to score about 1.9 goals and FC Utrecht about 1.9. That points to FC Utrecht to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is FC Utrecht to win and Over 2.5 at 3.22.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TelstarFC Utrecht
Games played2020
Wins710
Draws44
Losses96
Goals scored3237
Goals conceded3440
Scored per game1.61.9
Conceded per game1.72.0
Home record4W 2D 4L6W 1D 2L
Away record3W 2D 5L4W 3D 4L
Clean sheets15%25%
Both teams scored60%65%
Over 2.5 goals75%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals90%1.11
Over 2.5 goals74%1.35
Over 3.5 goals54%1.87
Both teams to score73%1.36
Telstar or Draw60%1.66
FC Utrecht or Draw62%1.62
Telstar to win and Over 2.531%3.25
FC Utrecht to win and Over 2.532%3.13
Telstar clean sheet14%6.97
FC Utrecht clean sheet15%6.72

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-18.4%
1-27.7%
2-17.5%
2-27.3%
1-35.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Telstar vs FC Utrecht?

Our prediction for Telstar vs FC Utrecht is FC Utrecht to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Telstar vs FC Utrecht?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Telstar to score 1.9 goals and FC Utrecht 1.9.

Will both teams score in Telstar vs FC Utrecht?

Both teams to score has a 73% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Telstar last 20 games and 13 of FC Utrecht last 20.

How are Telstar playing?

Telstar have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, L, newest first.

How are FC Utrecht playing?

FC Utrecht have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Telstar and FC Utrecht last met?

It ended FC Utrecht 4, Telstar 1. In the last 2 meetings Telstar won 0 and FC Utrecht won 1.

What is the best bet for Telstar vs FC Utrecht?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Telstar against FC Utrecht. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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