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Predictions › Spain › Tenerife vs Cádiz
LaLiga 2Sat 26 Sept, 16:30 Spain time

Tenerife vs Cádiz prediction

Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López

TenerifeHome
1.50 : 0.98
expected goals
CádizAway
48%Tenerife
28%Draw
24%Cádiz
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tenerife vs Cádiz is Tenerife to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Tenerife to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Tenerife 1.5, Cádiz 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Tenerife to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.941 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tenerife 48%, the draw 28% and Cádiz 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tenerife took 10 points from their last 5 games and Cádiz took 3 from 5. Tenerife come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tenerife won 2 of their last 3 games at home. Cádiz won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tenerife score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.6. Cádiz score 0.9 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Tenerife games and 12 of Cádiz games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Home edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tenerife vs Cádiz: Tenerife are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tenerife host Cádiz in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 26 Sept, 16:30 at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López. Our prediction for Tenerife vs Cádiz is Tenerife to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Tenerife form

Tenerife have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 games, with 7 goals scored and 3 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Cádiz form

Cádiz have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Tenerife to score about 1.5 goals and Cádiz about 1.0. That points to Tenerife to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Tenerife to win and Over 2.5 at 3.94.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TenerifeCádiz
Games played520
Wins32
Draws15
Losses113
Goals scored718
Goals conceded336
Scored per game1.40.9
Conceded per game0.61.8
Home record2W 0D 1L1W 2D 7L
Away record1W 1D 0L1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets40%15%
Both teams scored40%50%
Over 2.5 goals20%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.22
Over 3.5 goals24%4.20
Both teams to score49%2.03
Tenerife or Draw76%1.32
Cádiz or Draw52%1.94
Tenerife to win and Over 2.527%3.67
Cádiz to win and Over 2.513%7.98
Tenerife clean sheet37%2.67
Cádiz clean sheet22%4.47

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-011.8%
2-09.4%
2-19.2%
0-09.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tenerife vs Cádiz?

Our prediction for Tenerife vs Cádiz is Tenerife to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Tenerife vs Cádiz?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Tenerife to score 1.5 goals and Cádiz 1.0.

Will both teams score in Tenerife vs Cádiz?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Tenerife last 5 games and 10 of Cádiz last 20.

How are Tenerife playing?

Tenerife have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 games, with 7 goals scored and 3 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Cádiz playing?

Cádiz have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Tenerife vs Cádiz?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tenerife against Cádiz. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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