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Predictions › Spain › Tenerife vs Girona
LaLiga 2Mon 12 Oct, 19:00 Spain time

Tenerife vs Girona prediction

Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López

TenerifeHome
1.07 : 1.10
expected goals
GironaAway
34%Tenerife
31%Draw
35%Girona
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tenerife vs Girona is Girona to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Girona to win
Chance
35%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Tenerife 1.1, Girona 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.021 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tenerife 34%, the draw 31% and Girona 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tenerife took 5 points from their last 5 games and Girona took 12 from 5. Girona come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tenerife won 2 of their last 4 games at home. Girona won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tenerife score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. Girona score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Tenerife games and 8 of Girona games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Teneriferecent form-1%
  • Gironarecent form+4%
Tenerife form D L W D LGirona form W W L W WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tenerife vs Girona: Girona shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tenerife host Girona in the LaLiga 2 on Mon 12 Oct, 19:00 at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López. Our prediction for Tenerife vs Girona is Girona to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

Tenerife form

Tenerife have 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 7 games, with 8 goals scored and 9 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Girona form

Girona have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Tenerife to score about 1.1 goals and Girona about 1.1. That points to Girona to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.02.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TenerifeGirona
Games played720
Wins36
Draws26
Losses28
Goals scored827
Goals conceded923
Scored per game1.11.4
Conceded per game1.31.1
Home record2W 1D 1L4W 3D 4L
Away record1W 1D 1L2W 3D 4L
Clean sheets29%20%
Both teams scored43%65%
Over 2.5 goals29%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.55
Over 2.5 goals37%2.70
Over 3.5 goals18%5.71
Both teams to score45%2.24
Tenerife or Draw65%1.54
Girona or Draw66%1.51
Tenerife to win and Over 2.516%6.29
Girona to win and Over 2.517%6.04
Tenerife clean sheet33%3.00
Girona clean sheet34%2.93

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.2%
0-012.2%
0-111.7%
1-011.4%
1-27.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tenerife vs Girona?

Our prediction for Tenerife vs Girona is Girona to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Tenerife vs Girona?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 0-1. We expect Tenerife to score 1.1 goals and Girona 1.1.

Will both teams score in Tenerife vs Girona?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 3 of Tenerife last 7 games and 13 of Girona last 20.

How are Tenerife playing?

Tenerife have 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 7 games, with 8 goals scored and 9 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Girona playing?

Girona have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Tenerife vs Girona?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tenerife against Girona. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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