Predictions › Spain › Tenerife vs Leganés

LaLiga 2Sun 13 Sept, 19:00 Spain time

Tenerife vs Leganés prediction

Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López

TenerifeHome

1.18 : 0.94

expected goals

LeganésAway

41%Tenerife

31%Draw

28%Leganés

Eagle safe pickTenerife or Draw

1.39

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tenerife vs Leganés is Tenerife to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Tenerife or Draw at 1.39.

Prediction: Tenerife to win
Chance: 41%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Tenerife 1.2, Leganés 0.9
Best bet: Tenerife or Draw at 1.39
Both teams to score: 43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Tenerife or Draw

72% chanceFair price 1.391 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.091 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Tenerife 41%, the draw 31% and Leganés 28%. The bookmakers agree and make Tenerife the favourite at 2.30.
2
Recent form
Tenerife took 7 points from their last 4 games and Leganés took 11 from 5. Leganés come in with the better run.
3
Goals
Tenerife score 1.3 goals a game and let in 0.8. Leganés score 0.9 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Tenerife games and 8 of Leganés games in that run.
4
The safest bet
Tenerife or Draw has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Leganésrecent form+4%

Tenerife form D L W W LLeganés form D W W D WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tenerife vs Leganés: Tenerife shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tenerife host Leganés in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 13 Sept, 19:00 at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López. Our prediction for Tenerife vs Leganés is Tenerife to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Tenerife or Draw at 1.39.

Tenerife form

Tenerife have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 4 games, with 5 goals scored and 3 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss from 2. Their last 4 results read D, L, W, W, newest first.

Leganés form

Leganés have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Tenerife to score about 1.2 goals and Leganés about 0.9. That points to Tenerife to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Tenerife or Draw at 1.39. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.09.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Tenerife	Leganés
Games played	4	20
Wins	2	5
Draws	1	7
Losses	1	8
Goals scored	5	18
Goals conceded	3	25
Scored per game	1.3	0.9
Conceded per game	0.8	1.3
Home record	1W 0D 1L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	1W 1D 0L	1W 4D 5L
Clean sheets	25%	35%
Both teams scored	50%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	25%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Tenerife to win	37%	2.69	2.30	-14.4%
A Draw	30%	3.38	3.05	-9.7%
Leganés to win	27%	3.71	3.35	-9.8%
Over 1.5 goals	54%	1.86	1.51	-18.7%
Under 1.5 goals	44%	2.28	1.51	-33.8%
Tenerife -0.5	38%	2.61	2.20	-15.7%
Leganés +0.5	59%	1.69	1.59	-6.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	63%	1.58
Over 2.5 goals	36%	2.80
Over 3.5 goals	17%	6.02
Both teams to score	43%	2.32
Tenerife or Draw	72%	1.40
Leganés or Draw	59%	1.68
Tenerife to win and Over 2.5	19%	5.28
Leganés to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.95
Tenerife clean sheet	39%	2.56
Leganés clean sheet	31%	3.27

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.1%

1-013.3%

0-012.7%

0-110.4%

2-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tenerife vs Leganés?

Our prediction for Tenerife vs Leganés is Tenerife to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Tenerife or Draw at 1.39.

What is the score prediction for Tenerife vs Leganés?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Tenerife to score 1.2 goals and Leganés 0.9.

Will both teams score in Tenerife vs Leganés?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Tenerife last 4 games and 9 of Leganés last 20.

How are Tenerife playing?

How are Leganés playing?

What is the best bet for Tenerife vs Leganés?

Tenerife or Draw at 1.39, with a 72% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tenerife against Leganés. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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