Predictions › United States › Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens
NFLSun 4 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens prediction

M&T Bank Stadium

Tennessee TitansAway
16.2 : 26.5
projected points
Baltimore RavensHome
20%Titans
80%Ravens
Eagle safe pickTitans +18.5
-289

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens is Baltimore Ravens to win, with a 80% chance. We project Tennessee Titans 16.2 and Baltimore Ravens 26.5. Our best bet is Titans +18.5 at -289.

Prediction
Baltimore Ravens to win
Chance
80%
Projected score
Tennessee Titans 16, Baltimore Ravens 26
Projected total
42.6 points
Best bet
Titans +18.5 at -289

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Titans +18.5
74% chanceFair price -2891 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Baltimore Ravens 80% and Tennessee Titans 20%. The bookmakers agree and make Baltimore Ravens the favourite at -699.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Baltimore Ravens won 4 of their last 5 and Tennessee Titans won 1 of their last 5. Baltimore Ravens come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Baltimore Ravens won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Tennessee Titans won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Baltimore Ravens score 24.1 points a game and let in 19.6. Tennessee Titans score 16.1 and let in 24.8. Their recent games average 43.8 and 41.0 points in total, and the market line is 43.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Titans +18.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ravensrest between games-5%
  • Titansrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens: Baltimore Ravens are favourites

The big picture

Baltimore Ravens host Tennessee Titans in the NFL on Sun 4 Oct, 13:00 at M&T Bank Stadium. Our prediction for Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens is Baltimore Ravens to win, with a 80% chance. We project Tennessee Titans 16.2 and Baltimore Ravens 26.5. Our best bet is Titans +18.5 at -289.

Baltimore Ravens form

Baltimore Ravens have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 483 points scored and 393 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Tennessee Titans form

Tennessee Titans have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 323 points scored and 496 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Tennessee Titans to score about 16.2 points and Baltimore Ravens about 26.5. That points to Baltimore Ravens to win. Our safest bet is Titans +18.5 at -289.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RavensTitans
Games played2020
Wins125
Losses815
Points scored483323
Points conceded393496
Scored per game24.116.1
Conceded per game19.624.8
Home record4W 6L2W 9L
Away record8W 2L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Ravens to win80%-394-699-8.9%
Titans to win18%+466+500+6.0%
Ravens -11.543%+131-108-16.7%
Titans +11.551%-102-112-4.4%
Over 43.5 points44%+126-110-15.6%
Under 43.5 points50%+102-110-5.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Ravens spreadCoversFair
Ravens -17.530%+238
Ravens -13.541%+147
Ravens -10.549%+103
Ravens -7.558%-139
Ravens -3.569%-225
Total pointsOverUnder
35.571%29%
39.560%40%
42.550%50%
45.541%59%
49.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ravens +3.5 wins if Ravens win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens?

Our prediction for Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens is Baltimore Ravens to win, with a 80% chance. We project Tennessee Titans 16.2 and Baltimore Ravens 26.5. Our best bet is Titans +18.5 at -289.

What is the projected score for Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens?

We project Tennessee Titans 16.2 and Baltimore Ravens 26.5, about 42.6 points in total.

How are Baltimore Ravens playing?

Baltimore Ravens have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 483 points scored and 393 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Tennessee Titans playing?

Tennessee Titans have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 323 points scored and 496 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens?

Titans +18.5 at -289, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ravens against Titans. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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