Predictions › United States › Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks
College FootballSat 10 Oct, 16:15 United States time

Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction

Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium

Tennessee VolunteersAway
34.1 : 27.5
projected points
Arkansas RazorbacksHome
68%Tennessee
32%Arkansas
Eagle safe pickOver 51.5 points
-292

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks is Tennessee Volunteers to win, with a 68% chance. We project Tennessee Volunteers 34.1 and Arkansas Razorbacks 27.5. Our best bet is Over 51.5 points at -292.

Prediction
Tennessee Volunteers to win
Chance
68%
Projected score
Tennessee Volunteers 34, Arkansas Razorbacks 28
Projected total
61.7 points
Best bet
Over 51.5 points at -292

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 51.5 points
74% chanceFair price -2921 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Arkansas to win
32% chanceFair price +2131 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Arkansas Razorbacks 32% and Tennessee Volunteers 68%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Arkansas Razorbacks won 2 of their last 5 and Tennessee Volunteers won 3 of their last 5. Tennessee Volunteers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Arkansas Razorbacks won 2 of their last 8 games at home. Tennessee Volunteers won 4 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Arkansas Razorbacks score 27.1 points a game and let in 35.2. Tennessee Volunteers score 37.3 and let in 26.3. Their recent games average 62.3 and 63.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Arkansas Razorbacks won 0 and Tennessee Volunteers won 1. The last one ended Tennessee Volunteers 34, Arkansas Razorbacks 31.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 51.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks: Tennessee Volunteers are favourites

The big picture

Arkansas Razorbacks host Tennessee Volunteers in the College Football on Sat 10 Oct, 16:15 at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. Our prediction for Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks is Tennessee Volunteers to win, with a 68% chance. We project Tennessee Volunteers 34.1 and Arkansas Razorbacks 27.5. Our best bet is Over 51.5 points at -292.

Arkansas Razorbacks form

Arkansas Razorbacks have 2 wins and 12 losses in their last 14 games, with 379 points scored and 493 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Tennessee Volunteers form

Tennessee Volunteers have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 560 points scored and 394 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Arkansas Razorbacks won 0, Tennessee Volunteers won 1. Last time out it finished Tennessee Volunteers 34, Arkansas Razorbacks 31.

Our call

We expect Tennessee Volunteers to score about 34.1 points and Arkansas Razorbacks about 27.5. That points to Tennessee Volunteers to win. Our safest bet is Over 51.5 points at -292. Our bold bet is Arkansas to win at +213.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

ArkansasTennessee
Games played1415
Wins29
Losses126
Points scored379560
Points conceded493394
Scored per game27.137.3
Conceded per game35.226.3
Home record2W 6L5W 4L
Away record0W 6L4W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Arkansas spreadCoversFair
Arkansas -0.533%+205
Arkansas +3.542%+137
Arkansas +6.550%+101
Arkansas +9.557%-133
Arkansas +13.567%-200
Total pointsOverUnder
54.567%33%
58.558%42%
61.550%50%
64.543%57%
68.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Arkansas +3.5 wins if Arkansas win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks?

Our prediction for Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks is Tennessee Volunteers to win, with a 68% chance. We project Tennessee Volunteers 34.1 and Arkansas Razorbacks 27.5. Our best bet is Over 51.5 points at -292.

What is the projected score for Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks?

We project Tennessee Volunteers 34.1 and Arkansas Razorbacks 27.5, about 61.7 points in total.

How are Arkansas Razorbacks playing?

Arkansas Razorbacks have 2 wins and 12 losses in their last 14 games, with 379 points scored and 493 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Tennessee Volunteers playing?

Tennessee Volunteers have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 560 points scored and 394 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Arkansas Razorbacks and Tennessee Volunteers last met?

It ended Tennessee Volunteers 34, Arkansas Razorbacks 31. In the last 1 meeting Arkansas Razorbacks won 0 and Tennessee Volunteers won 1.

What is the best bet for Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks?

Over 51.5 points at -292, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Arkansas against Tennessee. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.