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College FootballSat 7 Nov, 12:00 United States time

Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers prediction

Memorial Stadium

Texas LonghornsAway
18.8 : 30.1
projected points
Missouri TigersHome
23%Texas
77%Missouri
Eagle safe pickMissouri to win
-337

Quick answer

Our prediction for Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers is Missouri Tigers to win, with a 77% chance. We project Texas Longhorns 18.8 and Missouri Tigers 30.1. Our best bet is Missouri to win at -337.

Prediction
Missouri Tigers to win
Chance
77%
Projected score
Texas Longhorns 19, Missouri Tigers 30
Projected total
49.0 points
Best bet
Missouri to win at -337

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Missouri to win
77% chanceFair price -3372 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Missouri Tigers 77% and Texas Longhorns 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Missouri Tigers won 3 of their last 5 and Texas Longhorns won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Missouri Tigers won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Texas Longhorns won 3 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Missouri Tigers score 28.2 points a game and let in 19.2. Texas Longhorns score 31.4 and let in 20.9. Their recent games average 47.4 and 52.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Missouri to win has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Texasteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers: Missouri Tigers are favourites

The big picture

Missouri Tigers host Texas Longhorns in the College Football on Sat 7 Nov, 12:00 at Memorial Stadium. Our prediction for Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers is Missouri Tigers to win, with a 77% chance. We project Texas Longhorns 18.8 and Missouri Tigers 30.1. Our best bet is Missouri to win at -337.

Missouri Tigers form

Missouri Tigers have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 508 points scored and 346 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Texas Longhorns form

Texas Longhorns have 14 wins and 4 losses in their last 18 games, with 566 points scored and 377 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Texas Longhorns to score about 18.8 points and Missouri Tigers about 30.1. That points to Missouri Tigers to win. Our safest bet is Missouri to win at -337.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

MissouriTexas
Games played1818
Wins1114
Losses74
Points scored508566
Points conceded346377
Scored per game28.231.4
Conceded per game19.220.9
Home record8W 3L11W 1L
Away record3W 4L3W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Missouri spreadCoversFair
Missouri -18.533%+206
Missouri -14.542%+138
Missouri -11.550%+102
Missouri -8.557%-132
Missouri -4.566%-198
Total pointsOverUnder
41.568%32%
45.559%41%
48.551%49%
51.544%56%
55.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Missouri +3.5 wins if Missouri win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers?

Our prediction for Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers is Missouri Tigers to win, with a 77% chance. We project Texas Longhorns 18.8 and Missouri Tigers 30.1. Our best bet is Missouri to win at -337.

What is the projected score for Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers?

We project Texas Longhorns 18.8 and Missouri Tigers 30.1, about 49.0 points in total.

How are Missouri Tigers playing?

Missouri Tigers have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 508 points scored and 346 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Texas Longhorns playing?

Texas Longhorns have 14 wins and 4 losses in their last 18 games, with 566 points scored and 377 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers?

Missouri to win at -337, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Missouri against Texas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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