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Predictions › United States › Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners
College FootballSat 10 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners prediction

Cotton Bowl

Texas LonghornsAway
26.9 : 20.9
projected points
Oklahoma SoonersHome
67%Texas
33%Oklahoma
Eagle safe pickTexas to win
-218

Quick answer

Our prediction for Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners is Texas Longhorns to win, with a 67% chance. We project Texas Longhorns 26.9 and Oklahoma Sooners 20.9. Our best bet is Texas to win at -218.

Prediction
Texas Longhorns to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Texas Longhorns 27, Oklahoma Sooners 21
Projected total
47.7 points
Best bet
Texas to win at -218

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Texas to win
65% chancePrice -2181 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Oklahoma Sooners 33% and Texas Longhorns 67%. The bookmakers agree and make Texas Longhorns the favourite at -218.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Oklahoma Sooners won 2 of their last 5 and Texas Longhorns won 5 of their last 5. Texas Longhorns come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Oklahoma Sooners won 6 of their last 8 games at home. Texas Longhorns won 3 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Oklahoma Sooners score 24.7 points a game and let in 16.6. Texas Longhorns score 32.3 and let in 19.7. Their recent games average 41.3 and 52.0 points in total, and the market line is 48.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Oklahoma Sooners won 0 and Texas Longhorns won 1. The last one ended Texas Longhorns 23, Oklahoma Sooners 6.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Texas to win has a 65% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners: Texas Longhorns are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Oklahoma Sooners host Texas Longhorns in the College Football on Sat 10 Oct, 15:30 at Cotton Bowl. Our prediction for Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners is Texas Longhorns to win, with a 67% chance. We project Texas Longhorns 26.9 and Oklahoma Sooners 20.9. Our best bet is Texas to win at -218.

Oklahoma Sooners form

Oklahoma Sooners have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 370 points scored and 249 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Texas Longhorns form

Texas Longhorns have 13 wins and 2 losses in their last 15 games, with 484 points scored and 296 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Oklahoma Sooners won 0, Texas Longhorns won 1. Last time out it finished Texas Longhorns 23, Oklahoma Sooners 6.

Our call

We expect Texas Longhorns to score about 26.9 points and Oklahoma Sooners about 20.9. That points to Texas Longhorns to win. Our safest bet is Texas to win at -218.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

OklahomaTexas
Games played1515
Wins1013
Losses52
Points scored370484
Points conceded249296
Scored per game24.732.3
Conceded per game16.619.7
Home record6W 2L10W 0L
Away record4W 3L3W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Oklahoma to win33%+205+180-8.2%
Texas to win65%-186-218-5.1%
Oklahoma +647%+113-108-9.7%
Texas -647%+113-112-11.3%
Over 48.5 points45%+122-108-13.3%
Under 48.5 points49%+105-112-7.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Oklahoma spreadCoversFair
Oklahoma -0.534%+192
Oklahoma +3.544%+128
Oklahoma +6.551%-105
Oklahoma +9.559%-142
Oklahoma +13.568%-213
Total pointsOverUnder
40.567%33%
44.558%42%
47.551%49%
50.543%57%
54.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Oklahoma +3.5 wins if Oklahoma win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Sooners Considered Benching John Mateer After Costly Turnovers Against Georgia

Oklahoma head coach Brent Venables admitted the team discussed benching quarterback John Mateer at halftime during their 41-13 loss to Georgia.

27 Sept 2026
College Football

Sarkisian Prepares for Headset Silence With Trump Attending Texas vs Tennessee

Texas coach Steve Sarkisian is preparing for sudden headset blackouts when President Donald Trump attends Saturday's game against Tennessee.

24 Sept 2026
College Football

Johnny Knoxville Set as Guest Picker for Week 4 Clash in Tennessee

College GameDay is heading to Knoxville for a massive matchup between Texas and Tennessee, featuring actor Johnny Knoxville as the guest picker.

24 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners?

Our prediction for Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners is Texas Longhorns to win, with a 67% chance. We project Texas Longhorns 26.9 and Oklahoma Sooners 20.9. Our best bet is Texas to win at -218.

What is the projected score for Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners?

We project Texas Longhorns 26.9 and Oklahoma Sooners 20.9, about 47.7 points in total.

How are Oklahoma Sooners playing?

Oklahoma Sooners have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 370 points scored and 249 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Texas Longhorns playing?

Texas Longhorns have 13 wins and 2 losses in their last 15 games, with 484 points scored and 296 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Oklahoma Sooners and Texas Longhorns last met?

It ended Texas Longhorns 23, Oklahoma Sooners 6. In the last 1 meeting Oklahoma Sooners won 0 and Texas Longhorns won 1.

What is the best bet for Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners?

Texas to win at -218, with a 65% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Oklahoma against Texas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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