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Predictions › United States › Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins
MLBFri 25 Sept, 20:10 United States time

Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins prediction

Target Field

Texas RangersAway
4.6 : 4.8
projected runs
Minnesota TwinsHome
49%Rangers
51%Twins
Eagle safe pickRangers +2.5
-262

Quick answer

Our prediction for Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins is Minnesota Twins to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Texas Rangers 4.6 and Minnesota Twins 4.8. Our best bet is Rangers +2.5 at -262.

Prediction
Minnesota Twins to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Texas Rangers 5, Minnesota Twins 5
Projected total
9.4 runs
Best bet
Rangers +2.5 at -262

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Rangers +2.5
72% chanceFair price -2621 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Minnesota Twins 51% and Texas Rangers 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Minnesota Twins won 1 of their last 5 and Texas Rangers won 2 of their last 5. Texas Rangers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Minnesota Twins won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Texas Rangers won 5 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Minnesota Twins score 4.3 runs a game and let in 5.3. Texas Rangers score 5.4 and let in 5.2. Their recent games average 9.7 and 10.6 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Minnesota Twins won 4 and Texas Rangers won 1. The last one ended Texas Rangers 3, Minnesota Twins 9.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Rangers +2.5 has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Twinsrest between games-5%
  • Rangersrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins: Minnesota Twins shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Minnesota Twins host Texas Rangers in the MLB on Fri 25 Sept, 20:10 at Target Field. Our prediction for Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins is Minnesota Twins to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Texas Rangers 4.6 and Minnesota Twins 4.8. Our best bet is Rangers +2.5 at -262.

Minnesota Twins form

Minnesota Twins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 87 runs scored and 107 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Texas Rangers form

Texas Rangers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 108 runs scored and 104 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Minnesota Twins won 4, Texas Rangers won 1. Last time out it finished Texas Rangers 3, Minnesota Twins 9.

Our call

We expect Texas Rangers to score about 4.6 runs and Minnesota Twins about 4.8. That points to Minnesota Twins to win. Our safest bet is Rangers +2.5 at -262.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TwinsRangers
Games played2020
Wins710
Losses1310
Runs scored87108
Runs conceded107104
Scored per game4.35.4
Conceded per game5.35.2
Home record4W 6L5W 3L
Away record3W 7L5W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Twins spreadCoversFair
Twins -2.529%+242
Twins -1.538%+164
Twins -0.547%+112
Twins +0.557%-131
Twins +1.566%-192
Total runsOverUnder
7.567%33%
8.558%42%
9.549%51%
10.540%60%
11.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Twins +3.5 wins if Twins win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins?

Our prediction for Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins is Minnesota Twins to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Texas Rangers 4.6 and Minnesota Twins 4.8. Our best bet is Rangers +2.5 at -262.

What is the projected score for Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins?

We project Texas Rangers 4.6 and Minnesota Twins 4.8, about 9.4 runs in total.

How are Minnesota Twins playing?

Minnesota Twins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 87 runs scored and 107 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Texas Rangers playing?

Texas Rangers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 108 runs scored and 104 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Minnesota Twins and Texas Rangers last met?

It ended Texas Rangers 3, Minnesota Twins 9. In the last 5 meetings Minnesota Twins won 4 and Texas Rangers won 1.

What is the best bet for Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins?

Rangers +2.5 at -262, with a 72% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Twins against Rangers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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