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Predictions › United States › Texas Southern Tigers vs Florida Atlantic Owls
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 18:00 United States time

Texas Southern Tigers vs Florida Atlantic Owls prediction

Flagler Credit Union Stadium

Texas Southern TigersAway
8.5 : 52.0
projected points
Florida Atlantic OwlsHome
3%Texas Southern
97%FAU
Eagle safe pickFAU -33.5
-289

Quick answer

Our prediction for Texas Southern Tigers vs Florida Atlantic Owls is Florida Atlantic Owls to win, with a 97% chance. We project Texas Southern Tigers 8.5 and Florida Atlantic Owls 52.0. Our best bet is FAU -33.5 at -289.

Prediction
Florida Atlantic Owls to win
Chance
97%
Projected score
Texas Southern Tigers 9, Florida Atlantic Owls 52
Projected total
60.5 points
Best bet
FAU -33.5 at -289

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FAU -33.5
74% chanceFair price -2891 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Florida Atlantic Owls 97% and Texas Southern Tigers 3%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Florida Atlantic Owls won 3 of their last 5 and Texas Southern Tigers won 0 of their last 1. Florida Atlantic Owls come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Scoring

    Florida Atlantic Owls score 29.4 points a game and let in 36.1. Texas Southern Tigers score 10.0 and let in 51.0. Their recent games average 65.5 and 61.0 points in total, and the market line is 60.5.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    FAU -33.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Texas Southern Tigers vs Florida Atlantic Owls: Florida Atlantic Owls are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Florida Atlantic Owls host Texas Southern Tigers in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 18:00 at Flagler Credit Union Stadium. Our prediction for Texas Southern Tigers vs Florida Atlantic Owls is Florida Atlantic Owls to win, with a 97% chance. We project Texas Southern Tigers 8.5 and Florida Atlantic Owls 52.0. Our best bet is FAU -33.5 at -289.

Florida Atlantic Owls form

Florida Atlantic Owls have 6 wins and 8 losses in their last 14 games, with 411 points scored and 506 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Texas Southern Tigers form

Texas Southern Tigers have 0 wins and 1 loss in their last 1 games, with 10 points scored and 51 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 1 loss from 1. Their last 1 results read L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Texas Southern Tigers to score about 8.5 points and Florida Atlantic Owls about 52.0. That points to Florida Atlantic Owls to win. Our safest bet is FAU -33.5 at -289.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

FAUTexas Southern
Games played141
Wins60
Losses81
Points scored41110
Points conceded50651
Scored per game29.410.0
Conceded per game36.151.0
Home record4W 3Ln/a
Away record2W 5L0W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
FAU -43.547%+114-110-10.7%
Texas Southern +43.547%+114-110-10.7%
Over 60.5 points47%+114-110-10.7%
Under 60.5 points47%+114-110-10.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

FAU spreadCoversFair
FAU -50.533%+202
FAU -46.543%+135
FAU -43.550%+100
FAU -40.557%-135
FAU -36.567%-202
Total pointsOverUnder
53.567%33%
57.557%43%
60.550%50%
63.543%57%
67.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. FAU +3.5 wins if FAU win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Texas Southern Tigers vs Florida Atlantic Owls?

Our prediction for Texas Southern Tigers vs Florida Atlantic Owls is Florida Atlantic Owls to win, with a 97% chance. We project Texas Southern Tigers 8.5 and Florida Atlantic Owls 52.0. Our best bet is FAU -33.5 at -289.

What is the projected score for Texas Southern Tigers vs Florida Atlantic Owls?

We project Texas Southern Tigers 8.5 and Florida Atlantic Owls 52.0, about 60.5 points in total.

How are Florida Atlantic Owls playing?

Florida Atlantic Owls have 6 wins and 8 losses in their last 14 games, with 411 points scored and 506 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Texas Southern Tigers playing?

Texas Southern Tigers have 0 wins and 1 loss in their last 1 games, with 10 points scored and 51 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 1 loss from 1. Their last 1 results read L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Texas Southern Tigers vs Florida Atlantic Owls?

FAU -33.5 at -289, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in FAU against Texas Southern. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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