Predictions › United States › Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos prediction

Albertsons Stadium

Texas State BobcatsAway
24.1 : 39.0
projected points
Boise State BroncosHome
18%Texas St
82%Boise St
Eagle safe pickBoise St to win
-467

Quick answer

Our prediction for Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos is Boise State Broncos to win, with a 82% chance. We project Texas State Bobcats 24.1 and Boise State Broncos 39.0. Our best bet is Boise St to win at -467.

Prediction
Boise State Broncos to win
Chance
82%
Projected score
Texas State Bobcats 24, Boise State Broncos 39
Projected total
63.0 points
Best bet
Boise St to win at -467

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Boise St to win
82% chanceFair price -4672 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boise State Broncos 82% and Texas State Bobcats 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boise State Broncos won 5 of their last 5 and Texas State Bobcats won 3 of their last 5. Boise State Broncos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boise State Broncos won 8 of their last 9 games at home. Texas State Bobcats won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Boise State Broncos score 31.7 points a game and let in 23.5. Texas State Bobcats score 36.4 and let in 29.8. Their recent games average 55.2 and 66.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Boise St to win has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos: Boise State Broncos are favourites

The big picture

Boise State Broncos host Texas State Bobcats in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 22:00 at Albertsons Stadium. Our prediction for Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos is Boise State Broncos to win, with a 82% chance. We project Texas State Bobcats 24.1 and Boise State Broncos 39.0. Our best bet is Boise St to win at -467.

Boise State Broncos form

Boise State Broncos have 13 wins and 5 losses in their last 18 games, with 570 points scored and 423 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Texas State Bobcats form

Texas State Bobcats have 8 wins and 9 losses in their last 17 games, with 619 points scored and 507 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Texas State Bobcats to score about 24.1 points and Boise State Broncos about 39.0. That points to Boise State Broncos to win. Our safest bet is Boise St to win at -467.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

Boise StTexas St
Games played1817
Wins138
Losses59
Points scored570619
Points conceded423507
Scored per game31.736.4
Conceded per game23.529.8
Home record8W 1L7W 3L
Away record5W 4L1W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Boise St spreadCoversFair
Boise St -21.534%+194
Boise St -17.544%+130
Boise St -14.551%-104
Boise St -11.558%-140
Boise St -7.568%-210
Total pointsOverUnder
56.566%34%
60.556%44%
63.549%51%
66.541%59%
70.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Boise St +3.5 wins if Boise St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos?

Our prediction for Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos is Boise State Broncos to win, with a 82% chance. We project Texas State Bobcats 24.1 and Boise State Broncos 39.0. Our best bet is Boise St to win at -467.

What is the projected score for Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos?

We project Texas State Bobcats 24.1 and Boise State Broncos 39.0, about 63.0 points in total.

How are Boise State Broncos playing?

Boise State Broncos have 13 wins and 5 losses in their last 18 games, with 570 points scored and 423 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Texas State Bobcats playing?

Texas State Bobcats have 8 wins and 9 losses in their last 17 games, with 619 points scored and 507 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos?

Boise St to win at -467, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Boise St against Texas St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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