Predictions › United States › Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Cincinnati Bearcats
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 00:00 United States time

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Cincinnati Bearcats prediction

Nippert Stadium

Texas Tech Red RaidersAway
27.8 : 25.4
projected points
Cincinnati BearcatsHome
57%Texas Tech
43%Cincinnati
Eagle safe pickUnder 63.5 points
-293

Quick answer

Our prediction for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Cincinnati Bearcats is Texas Tech Red Raiders to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Texas Tech Red Raiders 27.8 and Cincinnati Bearcats 25.4. Our best bet is Under 63.5 points at -293.

Prediction
Texas Tech Red Raiders to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Texas Tech Red Raiders 28, Cincinnati Bearcats 25
Projected total
53.1 points
Best bet
Under 63.5 points at -293

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 63.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2931 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cincinnati to win
43% chanceFair price +1301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cincinnati Bearcats 43% and Texas Tech Red Raiders 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cincinnati Bearcats won 4 of their last 5 and Texas Tech Red Raiders won 5 of their last 5. Texas Tech Red Raiders come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cincinnati Bearcats won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Texas Tech Red Raiders won 6 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Cincinnati Bearcats score 32.0 points a game and let in 25.6. Texas Tech Red Raiders score 35.1 and let in 13.2. Their recent games average 57.6 and 48.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 63.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Cincinnati Bearcats: Texas Tech Red Raiders shade it

The big picture

Cincinnati Bearcats host Texas Tech Red Raiders in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 00:00 at Nippert Stadium. Our prediction for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Cincinnati Bearcats is Texas Tech Red Raiders to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Texas Tech Red Raiders 27.8 and Cincinnati Bearcats 25.4. Our best bet is Under 63.5 points at -293.

Cincinnati Bearcats form

Cincinnati Bearcats have 10 wins and 6 losses in their last 16 games, with 512 points scored and 409 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Texas Tech Red Raiders form

Texas Tech Red Raiders have 15 wins and 2 losses in their last 17 games, with 597 points scored and 225 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Texas Tech Red Raiders to score about 27.8 points and Cincinnati Bearcats about 25.4. That points to Texas Tech Red Raiders to win. Our safest bet is Under 63.5 points at -293. Our bold bet is Cincinnati to win at +130.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

CincinnatiTexas Tech
Games played1617
Wins1015
Losses62
Points scored512597
Points conceded409225
Scored per game32.035.1
Conceded per game25.613.2
Home record8W 3L9W 1L
Away record2W 3L6W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Cincinnati spreadCoversFair
Cincinnati -4.533%+200
Cincinnati -0.543%+133
Cincinnati +2.550%-101
Cincinnati +5.558%-137
Cincinnati +9.567%-205
Total pointsOverUnder
46.566%34%
50.557%43%
53.549%51%
56.542%58%
60.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Cincinnati +3.5 wins if Cincinnati win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Cincinnati Bearcats?

Our prediction for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Cincinnati Bearcats is Texas Tech Red Raiders to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Texas Tech Red Raiders 27.8 and Cincinnati Bearcats 25.4. Our best bet is Under 63.5 points at -293.

What is the projected score for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Cincinnati Bearcats?

We project Texas Tech Red Raiders 27.8 and Cincinnati Bearcats 25.4, about 53.1 points in total.

How are Cincinnati Bearcats playing?

Cincinnati Bearcats have 10 wins and 6 losses in their last 16 games, with 512 points scored and 409 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Texas Tech Red Raiders playing?

Texas Tech Red Raiders have 15 wins and 2 losses in their last 17 games, with 597 points scored and 225 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Cincinnati Bearcats?

Under 63.5 points at -293, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cincinnati against Texas Tech. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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