Predictions › United States › Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Colorado Buffaloes
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Colorado Buffaloes prediction

Folsom Field

Texas Tech Red RaidersAway
32.2 : 19.3
projected points
Colorado BuffaloesHome
81%Texas Tech
19%Colorado
Eagle safe pickOver 40.5 points
-307

Quick answer

Our prediction for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Colorado Buffaloes is Texas Tech Red Raiders to win, with a 81% chance. We project Texas Tech Red Raiders 32.2 and Colorado Buffaloes 19.3. Our best bet is Over 40.5 points at -307.

Prediction
Texas Tech Red Raiders to win
Chance
81%
Projected score
Texas Tech Red Raiders 32, Colorado Buffaloes 19
Projected total
51.5 points
Best bet
Over 40.5 points at -307

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 40.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3072 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado Buffaloes 19% and Texas Tech Red Raiders 81%. The bookmakers agree and make Texas Tech Red Raiders the favourite at -575.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado Buffaloes won 2 of their last 5 and Texas Tech Red Raiders won 4 of their last 5. Texas Tech Red Raiders come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado Buffaloes won 3 of their last 6 games at home. Texas Tech Red Raiders won 5 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Colorado Buffaloes score 20.4 points a game and let in 30.7. Texas Tech Red Raiders score 35.5 and let in 13.6. Their recent games average 51.1 and 49.1 points in total, and the market line is 50.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 40.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Coloradorest between games-5%
  • Texas Techrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Colorado Buffaloes: Texas Tech Red Raiders are favourites

The big picture

Colorado Buffaloes host Texas Tech Red Raiders in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 19:30 at Folsom Field. Our prediction for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Colorado Buffaloes is Texas Tech Red Raiders to win, with a 81% chance. We project Texas Tech Red Raiders 32.2 and Colorado Buffaloes 19.3. Our best bet is Over 40.5 points at -307.

Colorado Buffaloes form

Colorado Buffaloes have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 286 points scored and 430 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Texas Tech Red Raiders form

Texas Tech Red Raiders have 14 wins and 2 losses in their last 16 games, with 568 points scored and 218 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Texas Tech Red Raiders to score about 32.2 points and Colorado Buffaloes about 19.3. That points to Texas Tech Red Raiders to win. Our safest bet is Over 40.5 points at -307.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

ColoradoTexas Tech
Games played1416
Wins414
Losses102
Points scored286568
Points conceded430218
Scored per game20.435.5
Conceded per game30.713.6
Home record3W 3L9W 1L
Away record1W 7L5W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Colorado to win19%+433+425-1.5%
Texas Tech to win79%-366-575-7.8%
Colorado +13.548%+107-108-6.8%
Texas Tech -13.545%+120-112-14.1%
Over 50.5 points49%+103-110-5.9%
Under 50.5 points44%+125-110-15.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Colorado spreadCoversFair
Colorado +5.532%+211
Colorado +9.542%+140
Colorado +12.549%+104
Colorado +15.556%-130
Colorado +19.566%-194
Total pointsOverUnder
44.567%33%
48.557%43%
51.550%50%
54.542%58%
58.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Colorado +3.5 wins if Colorado win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Colorado Buffaloes?

Our prediction for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Colorado Buffaloes is Texas Tech Red Raiders to win, with a 81% chance. We project Texas Tech Red Raiders 32.2 and Colorado Buffaloes 19.3. Our best bet is Over 40.5 points at -307.

What is the projected score for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Colorado Buffaloes?

We project Texas Tech Red Raiders 32.2 and Colorado Buffaloes 19.3, about 51.5 points in total.

How are Colorado Buffaloes playing?

Colorado Buffaloes have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 286 points scored and 430 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Texas Tech Red Raiders playing?

Texas Tech Red Raiders have 14 wins and 2 losses in their last 16 games, with 568 points scored and 218 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Colorado Buffaloes?

Over 40.5 points at -307, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Colorado against Texas Tech. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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