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Predictions › Argentina › Tigre vs Atlético Tucumán
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSat 24 Oct, 00:15 Argentina time

Tigre vs Atlético Tucumán prediction

Monumental de Victoria (José Dellagiovanna)

TigreHome
1.00 : 0.81
expected goals
Atlético TucumánAway
38%Tigre
34%Draw
28%Atl Tucumán
Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals
1.35

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tigre vs Atlético Tucumán is Tigre to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.35.

Prediction
Tigre to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Tigre 1.0, Atlético Tucumán 0.8
Best bet
Under 2.5 goals at 1.35
Both teams to score
36%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals
74% chanceFair price 1.351 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
17% chanceFair price 5.831 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tigre 38%, the draw 34% and Atlético Tucumán 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tigre took 0 points from their last 5 games and Atlético Tucumán took 4 from 5. Atlético Tucumán come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tigre won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Atlético Tucumán won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tigre score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.1. Atlético Tucumán score 0.8 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Tigre games and 6 of Atlético Tucumán games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Tigre won 0 and Atlético Tucumán won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Atlético Tucumán 0, Tigre 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 2.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tigrerecent form-6%
  • Atl Tucumánrecent form-3%
Tigre form D L L L LAtl Tucumán form D L L W LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tigre vs Atlético Tucumán: Tigre shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tigre host Atlético Tucumán in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 24 Oct, 00:15 at Monumental de Victoria (José Dellagiovanna). Our prediction for Tigre vs Atlético Tucumán is Tigre to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.35.

Tigre form

Tigre have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Atlético Tucumán form

Atlético Tucumán have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Tigre won 0, Atlético Tucumán won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético Tucumán 0, Tigre 0.

Our call

We expect Tigre to score about 1.0 goals and Atlético Tucumán about 0.8. That points to Tigre to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.35. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 5.83.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TigreAtl Tucumán
Games played2020
Wins35
Draws88
Losses97
Goals scored1516
Goals conceded2117
Scored per game0.80.8
Conceded per game1.10.8
Home record2W 5D 3L1W 6D 3L
Away record1W 3D 6L4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets25%45%
Both teams scored50%45%
Over 2.5 goals30%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals55%1.82
Over 2.5 goals27%3.67
Over 3.5 goals11%9.05
Both teams to score36%2.78
Tigre or Draw72%1.39
Atlético Tucumán or Draw62%1.61
Tigre to win and Over 2.514%7.01
Atlético Tucumán to win and Over 2.510%9.99
Tigre clean sheet44%2.26
Atlético Tucumán clean sheet37%2.71

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-017.1%
1-015.5%
1-114.1%
0-112.5%
2-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tigre vs Atlético Tucumán?

Our prediction for Tigre vs Atlético Tucumán is Tigre to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.35.

What is the score prediction for Tigre vs Atlético Tucumán?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Tigre to score 1.0 goals and Atlético Tucumán 0.8.

Will both teams score in Tigre vs Atlético Tucumán?

Both teams to score has a 36% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Tigre last 20 games and 9 of Atlético Tucumán last 20.

How are Tigre playing?

Tigre have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Atlético Tucumán playing?

Atlético Tucumán have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Tigre and Atlético Tucumán last met?

It ended Atlético Tucumán 0, Tigre 0. In the last 1 meeting Tigre won 0 and Atlético Tucumán won 0.

What is the best bet for Tigre vs Atlético Tucumán?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.35, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tigre against Atl Tucumán. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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