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Predictions › Argentina › Tigre vs Banfield
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSat 10 Oct, 22:15 Argentina time

Tigre vs Banfield prediction

Monumental de Victoria (José Dellagiovanna)

TigreHome
1.17 : 0.74
expected goals
BanfieldAway
45%Tigre
32%Draw
23%Banfield
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tigre vs Banfield is Tigre to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Tigre to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Tigre 1.2, Banfield 0.7
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
37%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
17% chanceFair price 6.051 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tigre 45%, the draw 32% and Banfield 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tigre took 4 points from their last 5 games and Banfield took 2 from 5. Tigre come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tigre won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Banfield won 2 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tigre score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.1. Banfield score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Tigre games and 10 of Banfield games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Tigre won 0 and Banfield won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Banfield 1, Tigre 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tigrerecent form-3%
  • Banfieldrecent form-1%
Tigre form L L L D WBanfield form D D W L LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tigre vs Banfield: Tigre are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tigre host Banfield in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 10 Oct, 22:15 at Monumental de Victoria (José Dellagiovanna). Our prediction for Tigre vs Banfield is Tigre to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Tigre form

Tigre have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Banfield form

Banfield have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Tigre won 0, Banfield won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Banfield 1, Tigre 0.

Our call

We expect Tigre to score about 1.2 goals and Banfield about 0.7. That points to Tigre to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.05.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TigreBanfield
Games played2020
Wins35
Draws95
Losses810
Goals scored1622
Goals conceded2129
Scored per game0.81.1
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record2W 6D 2L3W 2D 3L
Away record1W 3D 6L2W 3D 7L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals30%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals58%1.73
Over 2.5 goals30%3.34
Over 3.5 goals13%7.86
Both teams to score37%2.71
Tigre or Draw77%1.29
Banfield or Draw55%1.83
Tigre to win and Over 2.519%5.39
Banfield to win and Over 2.58%12.05
Tigre clean sheet48%2.10
Banfield clean sheet31%3.22

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-016.5%
0-015.6%
1-113.6%
0-110.2%
2-010.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tigre vs Banfield?

Our prediction for Tigre vs Banfield is Tigre to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Tigre vs Banfield?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Tigre to score 1.2 goals and Banfield 0.7.

Will both teams score in Tigre vs Banfield?

Both teams to score has a 37% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Tigre last 20 games and 12 of Banfield last 20.

How are Tigre playing?

Tigre have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Banfield playing?

Banfield have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Tigre and Banfield last met?

It ended Banfield 1, Tigre 0. In the last 1 meeting Tigre won 0 and Banfield won 1.

What is the best bet for Tigre vs Banfield?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tigre against Banfield. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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