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Predictions › Argentina › Tigre vs Sarmiento (Junín)
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 8 Nov, 20:00 Argentina time

Tigre vs Sarmiento (Junín) prediction

Monumental de Victoria (José Dellagiovanna)

TigreHome
1.26 : 1.04
expected goals
Sarmiento (Junín)Away
41%Tigre
30%Draw
30%Sarmiento (J)
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tigre vs Sarmiento (Junín) is Tigre to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Tigre to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Tigre 1.3, Sarmiento (Junín) 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.181 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tigre 41%, the draw 30% and Sarmiento (Junín) 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tigre took 1 point from their last 5 games and Sarmiento (Junín) took 5 from 5. Sarmiento (Junín) come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tigre won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Sarmiento (Junín) won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tigre score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.1. Sarmiento (Junín) score 1.4 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Tigre games and 11 of Sarmiento (Junín) games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Tigre won 0 and Sarmiento (Junín) won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sarmiento (Junín) 1, Tigre 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tigrerecent form-4%
Tigre form D D L L LSarmiento (J) form D D D W LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tigre vs Sarmiento (Junín): Tigre shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tigre host Sarmiento (Junín) in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 at Monumental de Victoria (José Dellagiovanna). Our prediction for Tigre vs Sarmiento (Junín) is Tigre to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

Tigre form

Tigre have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Sarmiento (Junín) form

Sarmiento (Junín) have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Tigre won 0, Sarmiento (Junín) won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sarmiento (Junín) 1, Tigre 0.

Our call

We expect Tigre to score about 1.3 goals and Sarmiento (Junín) about 1.0. That points to Tigre to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.18.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TigreSarmiento (J)
Games played2020
Wins39
Draws73
Losses108
Goals scored1529
Goals conceded2230
Scored per game0.81.4
Conceded per game1.11.5
Home record2W 3D 4L5W 3D 2L
Away record1W 4D 6L4W 0D 6L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored45%65%
Over 2.5 goals35%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.48
Over 2.5 goals40%2.48
Over 3.5 goals20%4.99
Both teams to score47%2.12
Tigre or Draw70%1.42
Sarmiento (Junín) or Draw59%1.69
Tigre to win and Over 2.521%4.80
Sarmiento (Junín) to win and Over 2.515%6.86
Tigre clean sheet35%2.82
Sarmiento (Junín) clean sheet28%3.53

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%
1-011.9%
0-010.8%
0-19.6%
2-18.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tigre vs Sarmiento (Junín)?

Our prediction for Tigre vs Sarmiento (Junín) is Tigre to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Tigre vs Sarmiento (Junín)?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Tigre to score 1.3 goals and Sarmiento (Junín) 1.0.

Will both teams score in Tigre vs Sarmiento (Junín)?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Tigre last 20 games and 13 of Sarmiento (Junín) last 20.

How are Tigre playing?

Tigre have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Sarmiento (Junín) playing?

Sarmiento (Junín) have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Tigre and Sarmiento (Junín) last met?

It ended Sarmiento (Junín) 1, Tigre 0. In the last 1 meeting Tigre won 0 and Sarmiento (Junín) won 1.

What is the best bet for Tigre vs Sarmiento (Junín)?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tigre against Sarmiento (J). A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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