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Predictions › Mexico › Tigres UANL vs América
Liga MXSun 22 Nov, 03:00 Mexico time

Tigres UANL vs América prediction

Estadio Universitario

Tigres UANLHome
1.86 : 1.96
expected goals
AméricaAway
37%Tigres
22%Draw
41%América
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.34

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tigres UANL vs América is América to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.34.

Prediction
América to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Tigres UANL 1.9, América 2.0
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.34
Both teams to score
73%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
74% chanceFair price 1.341 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

América to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.101 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tigres UANL 37%, the draw 22% and América 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tigres UANL took 2 points from their last 5 games and América took 6 from 5. América come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tigres UANL won 5 of their last 9 games at home. América won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tigres UANL score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. América score 2.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Tigres UANL games and 14 of América games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Tigres UANL won 1 and América won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended América 1, Tigres UANL 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tigresrecent form-4%
Tigres form L L D L DAmérica form D D D L WHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tigres UANL vs América: América shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tigres UANL host América in the Liga MX on Sun 22 Nov, 03:00 at Estadio Universitario. Our prediction for Tigres UANL vs América is América to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.34.

Tigres UANL form

Tigres UANL have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

América form

América have 9 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Tigres UANL won 1, América won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished América 1, Tigres UANL 4.

Our call

We expect Tigres UANL to score about 1.9 goals and América about 2.0. That points to América to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.34. Our bold bet is América to win and Over 2.5 at 3.10.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TigresAmérica
Games played2020
Wins59
Draws78
Losses83
Goals scored2247
Goals conceded2932
Scored per game1.12.4
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record5W 2D 2L3W 5D 2L
Away record0W 5D 6L6W 3D 1L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored55%75%
Over 2.5 goals40%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals90%1.11
Over 2.5 goals73%1.36
Over 3.5 goals53%1.89
Both teams to score73%1.37
Tigres UANL or Draw59%1.69
América or Draw63%1.59
Tigres UANL to win and Over 2.530%3.39
América to win and Over 2.533%3.05
Tigres UANL clean sheet14%7.08
América clean sheet16%6.40

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-18.5%
1-27.8%
2-17.4%
2-27.3%
1-35.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tigres UANL vs América?

Our prediction for Tigres UANL vs América is América to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.34.

What is the score prediction for Tigres UANL vs América?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Tigres UANL to score 1.9 goals and América 2.0.

Will both teams score in Tigres UANL vs América?

Both teams to score has a 73% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Tigres UANL last 20 games and 15 of América last 20.

How are Tigres UANL playing?

Tigres UANL have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

How are América playing?

América have 9 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Tigres UANL and América last met?

It ended América 1, Tigres UANL 4. In the last 1 meeting Tigres UANL won 1 and América won 0.

What is the best bet for Tigres UANL vs América?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.34, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tigres against América. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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