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Predictions › Mexico › Tigres UANL vs León
Liga MXWed 21 Oct, 03:00 Mexico time

Tigres UANL vs León prediction

Estadio Universitario

Tigres UANLHome
1.99 : 0.70
expected goals
LeónAway
67%Tigres
21%Draw
12%León
Eagle safe pickTigres UANL or Draw
1.16

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tigres UANL vs León is Tigres UANL to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Tigres UANL or Draw at 1.16.

Prediction
Tigres UANL to win
Chance
67%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Tigres UANL 2.0, León 0.7
Best bet
Tigres UANL or Draw at 1.16
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Tigres UANL or Draw
86% chanceFair price 1.162 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Tigres UANL to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.571 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tigres UANL 67%, the draw 21% and León 12%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tigres UANL took 8 points from their last 5 games and León took 8 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tigres UANL won 6 of their last 8 games at home. León won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tigres UANL score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.2. León score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Tigres UANL games and 11 of León games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Tigres UANL won 1 and León won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended León 1, Tigres UANL 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Tigres UANL or Draw has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Leónrecent form+1%
  • Tigresrest between games-5%
  • Leónrest between games-5%
Tigres form D W L D DLeón form D W D W LHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tigres UANL vs León: Tigres UANL are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tigres UANL host León in the Liga MX on Wed 21 Oct, 03:00 at Estadio Universitario. Our prediction for Tigres UANL vs León is Tigres UANL to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Tigres UANL or Draw at 1.16.

Tigres UANL form

Tigres UANL have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, D, newest first.

León form

León have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Tigres UANL won 1, León won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished León 1, Tigres UANL 2.

Our call

We expect Tigres UANL to score about 2.0 goals and León about 0.7. That points to Tigres UANL to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Tigres UANL or Draw at 1.16. Our bold bet is Tigres UANL to win and Over 2.5 at 2.57.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TigresLeón
Games played2020
Wins79
Draws73
Losses68
Goals scored2628
Goals conceded2433
Scored per game1.31.4
Conceded per game1.21.6
Home record6W 2D 0L6W 0D 3L
Away record1W 5D 6L3W 3D 5L
Clean sheets35%25%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals40%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%1.99
Over 3.5 goals28%3.54
Both teams to score44%2.28
Tigres UANL or Draw88%1.13
León or Draw33%3.04
Tigres UANL to win and Over 2.541%2.46
León to win and Over 2.56%17.43
Tigres UANL clean sheet50%2.01
León clean sheet14%7.28

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-013.5%
1-013.0%
1-110.0%
2-19.4%
3-08.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tigres UANL vs León?

Our prediction for Tigres UANL vs León is Tigres UANL to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Tigres UANL or Draw at 1.16.

What is the score prediction for Tigres UANL vs León?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Tigres UANL to score 2.0 goals and León 0.7.

Will both teams score in Tigres UANL vs León?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Tigres UANL last 20 games and 12 of León last 20.

How are Tigres UANL playing?

Tigres UANL have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, D, newest first.

How are León playing?

León have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Tigres UANL and León last met?

It ended León 1, Tigres UANL 2. In the last 2 meetings Tigres UANL won 1 and León won 0.

What is the best bet for Tigres UANL vs León?

Tigres UANL or Draw at 1.16, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tigres against León. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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