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Predictions › Mexico › Tijuana vs Atlante
Liga MXSat 21 Nov, 03:00 Mexico time

Tijuana vs Atlante prediction

Estadio Caliente

TijuanaHome
1.74 : 0.81
expected goals
AtlanteAway
59%Tijuana
25%Draw
17%Atlante
Eagle safe pickTijuana or Draw
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tijuana vs Atlante is Tijuana to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Tijuana or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction
Tijuana to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Tijuana 1.7, Atlante 0.8
Best bet
Tijuana or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Tijuana or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Tijuana to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.001 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tijuana 59%, the draw 25% and Atlante 17%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tijuana took 6 points from their last 5 games and Atlante took 3 from 5. Tijuana come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tijuana won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Atlante won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tijuana score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. Atlante score 1.0 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Tijuana games and 6 of Atlante games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Tijuana or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Atlanterecent form-4%
Tijuana form L D D W DAtlante form L L L W LHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tijuana vs Atlante: Tijuana are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tijuana host Atlante in the Liga MX on Sat 21 Nov, 03:00 at Estadio Caliente. Our prediction for Tijuana vs Atlante is Tijuana to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Tijuana or Draw at 1.20.

Tijuana form

Tijuana have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, D, newest first.

Atlante form

Atlante have 3 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 16 games, with 16 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Tijuana to score about 1.7 goals and Atlante about 0.8. That points to Tijuana to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Tijuana or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is Tijuana to win and Over 2.5 at 3.00.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TijuanaAtlante
Games played2016
Wins73
Draws95
Losses48
Goals scored3116
Goals conceded2526
Scored per game1.61.0
Conceded per game1.31.6
Home record6W 1D 2L1W 3D 4L
Away record1W 8D 2L2W 2D 4L
Clean sheets25%13%
Both teams scored65%56%
Over 2.5 goals50%38%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.13
Over 3.5 goals25%3.95
Both teams to score47%2.15
Tijuana or Draw83%1.20
Atlante or Draw41%2.41
Tijuana to win and Over 2.534%2.95
Atlante to win and Over 2.58%11.95
Tijuana clean sheet44%2.26
Atlante clean sheet18%5.67

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-012.9%
2-011.8%
1-111.7%
2-19.6%
0-08.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tijuana vs Atlante?

Our prediction for Tijuana vs Atlante is Tijuana to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Tijuana or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Tijuana vs Atlante?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Tijuana to score 1.7 goals and Atlante 0.8.

Will both teams score in Tijuana vs Atlante?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Tijuana last 20 games and 9 of Atlante last 16.

How are Tijuana playing?

Tijuana have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Atlante playing?

Atlante have 3 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 16 games, with 16 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Tijuana vs Atlante?

Tijuana or Draw at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tijuana against Atlante. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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