Predictions › Japan › Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Avispa Fukuoka

J1 LeagueSat 24 Oct, 06:00 Japan time

Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction

Tokyo Stadium

Tokyo Verdy 1969Home

0.97 : 1.19

expected goals

Avispa FukuokaAway

29%Tokyo Verdy

31%Draw

40%A Fukuoka

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Avispa Fukuoka is Avispa Fukuoka to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction: Avispa Fukuoka to win
Chance: 40%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Tokyo Verdy 1969 1.0, Avispa Fukuoka 1.2
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score: 44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

81% chanceFair price 1.242 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.091 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Tokyo Verdy 1969 29%, the draw 31% and Avispa Fukuoka 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Tokyo Verdy 1969 took 2 points from their last 5 games and Avispa Fukuoka took 4 from 5. Avispa Fukuoka come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Avispa Fukuoka won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Tokyo Verdy 1969 score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.5. Avispa Fukuoka score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Tokyo Verdy 1969 games and 10 of Avispa Fukuoka games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 0 and Avispa Fukuoka won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Tokyo Verdy 1969 0, Avispa Fukuoka 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Tokyo Verdyrecent form-3%
A Fukuokarecent form-4%

Tokyo Verdy form D L D D LA Fukuoka form D L L D LHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Avispa Fukuoka: Avispa Fukuoka shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tokyo Verdy 1969 host Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League on Sat 24 Oct, 06:00 at Tokyo Stadium. Our prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Avispa Fukuoka is Avispa Fukuoka to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

Tokyo Verdy 1969 form

Tokyo Verdy 1969 have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Avispa Fukuoka form

Avispa Fukuoka have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 0, Avispa Fukuoka won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Tokyo Verdy 1969 0, Avispa Fukuoka 0.

Our call

We expect Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score about 1.0 goals and Avispa Fukuoka about 1.2. That points to Avispa Fukuoka to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.09.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Tokyo Verdy	A Fukuoka
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	5
Draws	7	7
Losses	9	8
Goals scored	14	25
Goals conceded	30	27
Scored per game	0.7	1.3
Conceded per game	1.5	1.4
Home record	3W 2D 6L	3W 4D 4L
Away record	1W 5D 3L	2W 3D 4L
Clean sheets	30%	10%
Both teams scored	45%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	30%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	64%	1.55
Over 2.5 goals	37%	2.72
Over 3.5 goals	17%	5.77
Both teams to score	44%	2.27
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or Draw	60%	1.68
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw	71%	1.41
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.59
Avispa Fukuoka to win and Over 2.5	19%	5.22
Tokyo Verdy 1969 clean sheet	30%	3.30
Avispa Fukuoka clean sheet	38%	2.64

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.1%

0-112.9%

0-012.3%

1-010.3%

0-28.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Our prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Avispa Fukuoka is Avispa Fukuoka to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Avispa Fukuoka?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score 1.0 goals and Avispa Fukuoka 1.2.

Will both teams score in Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Tokyo Verdy 1969 last 20 games and 13 of Avispa Fukuoka last 20.

How are Tokyo Verdy 1969 playing?

How are Avispa Fukuoka playing?

What happened when Tokyo Verdy 1969 and Avispa Fukuoka last met?

It ended Tokyo Verdy 1969 0, Avispa Fukuoka 0. In the last 1 meeting Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 0 and Avispa Fukuoka won 0.

What is the best bet for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tokyo Verdy against A Fukuoka. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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