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Predictions › Japan › Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs FC Tokyo
J1 LeagueSat 17 Oct, 05:00 Japan time

Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs FC Tokyo prediction

Tokyo Stadium

Tokyo Verdy 1969Home
0.61 : 1.94
expected goals
FC TokyoAway
10%Tokyo Verdy
21%Draw
68%Tokyo
Eagle safe pickFC Tokyo draw no bet
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs FC Tokyo is FC Tokyo to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is FC Tokyo draw no bet at 1.19.

Prediction
FC Tokyo to win
Chance
68%
Most likely score
0-2
Expected goals
Tokyo Verdy 1969 0.6, FC Tokyo 1.9
Best bet
FC Tokyo draw no bet at 1.19
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Tokyo draw no bet
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 2.711 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tokyo Verdy 1969 10%, the draw 21% and FC Tokyo 68%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tokyo Verdy 1969 took 2 points from their last 5 games and FC Tokyo took 13 from 5. FC Tokyo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 3 of their last 10 games at home. FC Tokyo won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tokyo Verdy 1969 score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. FC Tokyo score 1.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Tokyo Verdy 1969 games and 11 of FC Tokyo games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 0 and FC Tokyo won 2 with 1 draw. The last one ended FC Tokyo 2, Tokyo Verdy 1969 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    FC Tokyo draw no bet has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tokyo Verdyrecent form-4%
  • Tokyorecent form+6%
Tokyo Verdy form L D D L LTokyo form W W W D WHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs FC Tokyo: FC Tokyo are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tokyo Verdy 1969 host FC Tokyo in the J1 League on Sat 17 Oct, 05:00 at Tokyo Stadium. Our prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs FC Tokyo is FC Tokyo to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is FC Tokyo draw no bet at 1.19.

Tokyo Verdy 1969 form

Tokyo Verdy 1969 have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

FC Tokyo form

FC Tokyo have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 0, FC Tokyo won 2 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished FC Tokyo 2, Tokyo Verdy 1969 1.

Our call

We expect Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score about 0.6 goals and FC Tokyo about 1.9. That points to FC Tokyo to win, with 0-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Tokyo draw no bet at 1.19. Our bold bet is FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.5 at 2.71.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Tokyo VerdyTokyo
Games played2020
Wins411
Draws75
Losses94
Goals scored1635
Goals conceded3122
Scored per game0.81.8
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record3W 2D 5L6W 1D 3L
Away record1W 5D 4L5W 4D 1L
Clean sheets30%45%
Both teams scored50%45%
Over 2.5 goals35%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.12
Over 3.5 goals25%3.93
Both teams to score40%2.51
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or Draw32%3.17
FC Tokyo or Draw90%1.11
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win and Over 2.55%21.72
FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.539%2.54
Tokyo Verdy 1969 clean sheet14%6.98
FC Tokyo clean sheet54%1.85

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-214.6%
0-114.5%
1-19.8%
0-39.5%
1-29.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs FC Tokyo?

Our prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs FC Tokyo is FC Tokyo to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is FC Tokyo draw no bet at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs FC Tokyo?

0-2 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-1. We expect Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score 0.6 goals and FC Tokyo 1.9.

Will both teams score in Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs FC Tokyo?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Tokyo Verdy 1969 last 20 games and 9 of FC Tokyo last 20.

How are Tokyo Verdy 1969 playing?

Tokyo Verdy 1969 have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

How are FC Tokyo playing?

FC Tokyo have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Tokyo Verdy 1969 and FC Tokyo last met?

It ended FC Tokyo 2, Tokyo Verdy 1969 1. In the last 3 meetings Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 0 and FC Tokyo won 2.

What is the best bet for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs FC Tokyo?

FC Tokyo draw no bet at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tokyo Verdy against Tokyo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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