EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Japan › Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Nagoya Grampus
J1 LeagueSat 21 Nov, 05:00 Japan time

Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Nagoya Grampus prediction

Tokyo Stadium

Tokyo Verdy 1969Home
1.32 : 1.63
expected goals
Nagoya GrampusAway
30%Tokyo Verdy
26%Draw
44%Nagoya
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Nagoya Grampus is Nagoya Grampus to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Nagoya Grampus to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Tokyo Verdy 1969 1.3, Nagoya Grampus 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Nagoya Grampus to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.471 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tokyo Verdy 1969 30%, the draw 26% and Nagoya Grampus 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tokyo Verdy 1969 took 10 points from their last 5 games and Nagoya Grampus took 5 from 5. Tokyo Verdy 1969 come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Nagoya Grampus won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tokyo Verdy 1969 score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.8. Nagoya Grampus score 1.3 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Tokyo Verdy 1969 games and 14 of Nagoya Grampus games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tokyo Verdyrecent form+3%
  • Nagoyarecent form-1%
Tokyo Verdy form W W W D LNagoya form L L D D WHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Nagoya Grampus: Nagoya Grampus shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tokyo Verdy 1969 host Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League on Sat 21 Nov, 05:00 at Tokyo Stadium. Our prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Nagoya Grampus is Nagoya Grampus to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Tokyo Verdy 1969 form

Tokyo Verdy 1969 have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Nagoya Grampus form

Nagoya Grampus have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score about 1.3 goals and Nagoya Grampus about 1.6. That points to Nagoya Grampus to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Nagoya Grampus to win and Over 2.5 at 3.47.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Tokyo VerdyNagoya
Games played2020
Wins46
Draws73
Losses911
Goals scored1726
Goals conceded3538
Scored per game0.81.3
Conceded per game1.81.9
Home record1W 2D 7L4W 3D 3L
Away record3W 5D 2L2W 0D 8L
Clean sheets25%5%
Both teams scored50%70%
Over 2.5 goals45%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.77
Over 3.5 goals34%2.92
Both teams to score60%1.68
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or Draw56%1.79
Nagoya Grampus or Draw70%1.44
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win and Over 2.520%5.10
Nagoya Grampus to win and Over 2.529%3.42
Tokyo Verdy 1969 clean sheet20%5.11
Nagoya Grampus clean sheet27%3.75

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
1-29.2%
0-17.8%
2-17.4%
0-26.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Nagoya Grampus?

Our prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Nagoya Grampus is Nagoya Grampus to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Nagoya Grampus?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score 1.3 goals and Nagoya Grampus 1.6.

Will both teams score in Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Nagoya Grampus?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Tokyo Verdy 1969 last 20 games and 14 of Nagoya Grampus last 20.

How are Tokyo Verdy 1969 playing?

Tokyo Verdy 1969 have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Nagoya Grampus playing?

Nagoya Grampus have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Nagoya Grampus?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tokyo Verdy against Nagoya. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.