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Predictions › Japan › Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
J1 LeagueSun 11 Oct, 06:00 Japan time

Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction

Tokyo Stadium

Tokyo Verdy 1969Home
0.82 : 1.88
expected goals
Sanfrecce HiroshimaAway
15%Tokyo Verdy
23%Draw
62%Sanfreece
Eagle safe pickSanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.21.

Prediction
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
Chance
62%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Tokyo Verdy 1969 0.8, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.9
Best bet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.21
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 2.801 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tokyo Verdy 1969 15%, the draw 23% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 62%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tokyo Verdy 1969 took 2 points from their last 5 games and Sanfrecce Hiroshima took 10 from 5. Sanfrecce Hiroshima come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tokyo Verdy 1969 score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.0 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Tokyo Verdy 1969 games and 10 of Sanfrecce Hiroshima games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tokyo Verdyrecent form-4%
  • Sanfreecerecent form+3%
Tokyo Verdy form L D D L LSanfreece form W W L W DHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Sanfrecce Hiroshima are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tokyo Verdy 1969 host Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League on Sun 11 Oct, 06:00 at Tokyo Stadium. Our prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.21.

Tokyo Verdy 1969 form

Tokyo Verdy 1969 have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score about 0.8 goals and Sanfrecce Hiroshima about 1.9. That points to Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.21. Our bold bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.5 at 2.80.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Tokyo VerdySanfreece
Games played2020
Wins412
Draws75
Losses93
Goals scored1640
Goals conceded3116
Scored per game0.82.0
Conceded per game1.60.8
Home record3W 2D 5L7W 3D 1L
Away record1W 5D 4L5W 2D 2L
Clean sheets30%40%
Both teams scored50%50%
Over 2.5 goals35%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals50%1.98
Over 3.5 goals28%3.52
Both teams to score48%2.09
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or Draw38%2.62
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw85%1.18
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win and Over 2.58%12.59
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.538%2.65
Tokyo Verdy 1969 clean sheet15%6.53
Sanfrecce Hiroshima clean sheet44%2.26

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-112.1%
0-211.9%
1-111.0%
1-29.7%
0-37.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Our prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-1. We expect Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score 0.8 goals and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.9.

Will both teams score in Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Tokyo Verdy 1969 last 20 games and 10 of Sanfrecce Hiroshima last 20.

How are Tokyo Verdy 1969 playing?

Tokyo Verdy 1969 have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Sanfrecce Hiroshima playing?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tokyo Verdy against Sanfreece. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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