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Predictions › United States › Toledo Rockets vs Ball State Cardinals
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 14:00 United States time

Toledo Rockets vs Ball State Cardinals prediction

Scheumann Stadium

Toledo RocketsAway
35.1 : 15.6
projected points
Ball State CardinalsHome
91%Toledo
9%Ball State
Eagle safe pickUnder 61.5 points
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Toledo Rockets vs Ball State Cardinals is Toledo Rockets to win, with a 91% chance. We project Toledo Rockets 35.1 and Ball State Cardinals 15.6. Our best bet is Under 61.5 points at -304.

Prediction
Toledo Rockets to win
Chance
91%
Projected score
Toledo Rockets 35, Ball State Cardinals 16
Projected total
50.7 points
Best bet
Under 61.5 points at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 61.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3042 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ball State Cardinals 9% and Toledo Rockets 91%. The bookmakers agree and make Toledo Rockets the favourite at -1351.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ball State Cardinals won 1 of their last 5 and Toledo Rockets won 3 of their last 5. Toledo Rockets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Ball State Cardinals won 5 of their last 6 games at home. Toledo Rockets won 2 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Ball State Cardinals score 18.5 points a game and let in 31.1. Toledo Rockets score 34.2 and let in 15.5. Their recent games average 49.6 and 49.7 points in total, and the market line is 51.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Ball State Cardinals won 0 and Toledo Rockets won 1. The last one ended Toledo Rockets 38, Ball State Cardinals 9.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 61.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ball Staterest between games-5%
  • Toledorest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Toledo Rockets vs Ball State Cardinals: Toledo Rockets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Ball State Cardinals host Toledo Rockets in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 14:00 at Scheumann Stadium. Our prediction for Toledo Rockets vs Ball State Cardinals is Toledo Rockets to win, with a 91% chance. We project Toledo Rockets 35.1 and Ball State Cardinals 15.6. Our best bet is Under 61.5 points at -304.

Ball State Cardinals form

Ball State Cardinals have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 259 points scored and 435 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Toledo Rockets form

Toledo Rockets have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 513 points scored and 232 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Ball State Cardinals won 0, Toledo Rockets won 1. Last time out it finished Toledo Rockets 38, Ball State Cardinals 9.

Our call

We expect Toledo Rockets to score about 35.1 points and Ball State Cardinals about 15.6. That points to Toledo Rockets to win. Our safest bet is Under 61.5 points at -304.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

Ball StateToledo
Games played1415
Wins510
Losses95
Points scored259513
Points conceded435232
Scored per game18.534.2
Conceded per game31.115.5
Home record5W 1L8W 0L
Away record0W 8L2W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Ball State to win9%+1059+800-22.3%
Toledo to win87%-657-1351-6.8%
Ball State +19.547%+113-108-9.7%
Toledo -19.547%+113-112-11.3%
Over 51.5 points45%+122-110-14.2%
Under 51.5 points49%+105-110-6.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Ball State spreadCoversFair
Ball State +12.533%+202
Ball State +16.543%+135
Ball State +19.550%+100
Ball State +22.557%-135
Ball State +26.567%-202
Total pointsOverUnder
43.567%33%
47.558%42%
50.551%49%
53.543%57%
57.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ball State +3.5 wins if Ball State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Toledo Rockets vs Ball State Cardinals?

Our prediction for Toledo Rockets vs Ball State Cardinals is Toledo Rockets to win, with a 91% chance. We project Toledo Rockets 35.1 and Ball State Cardinals 15.6. Our best bet is Under 61.5 points at -304.

What is the projected score for Toledo Rockets vs Ball State Cardinals?

We project Toledo Rockets 35.1 and Ball State Cardinals 15.6, about 50.7 points in total.

How are Ball State Cardinals playing?

Ball State Cardinals have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 259 points scored and 435 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Toledo Rockets playing?

Toledo Rockets have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 513 points scored and 232 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Ball State Cardinals and Toledo Rockets last met?

It ended Toledo Rockets 38, Ball State Cardinals 9. In the last 1 meeting Ball State Cardinals won 0 and Toledo Rockets won 1.

What is the best bet for Toledo Rockets vs Ball State Cardinals?

Under 61.5 points at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ball State against Toledo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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