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Predictions › United States › Toledo Rockets vs Eastern Michigan Eagles
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Toledo Rockets vs Eastern Michigan Eagles prediction

Rynearson Stadium

Toledo RocketsAway
21.2 : 23.6
projected points
Eastern Michigan EaglesHome
48%Toledo
52%E Michigan
Eagle safe pickOver 34.5 points
-300

Quick answer

Our prediction for Toledo Rockets vs Eastern Michigan Eagles is Eastern Michigan Eagles to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Toledo Rockets 21.2 and Eastern Michigan Eagles 23.6. Our best bet is Over 34.5 points at -300.

Prediction
Eastern Michigan Eagles to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Toledo Rockets 21, Eastern Michigan Eagles 24
Projected total
44.9 points
Best bet
Over 34.5 points at -300

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 34.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3002 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Toledo to win
41% chanceFair price +1451 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Eastern Michigan Eagles 52% and Toledo Rockets 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Eastern Michigan Eagles won 2 of their last 5 and Toledo Rockets won 4 of their last 5. Toledo Rockets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Eastern Michigan Eagles won 5 of their last 8 games at home. Toledo Rockets won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Eastern Michigan Eagles score 23.3 points a game and let in 26.7. Toledo Rockets score 34.5 and let in 16.0. Their recent games average 49.9 and 50.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 34.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Toledo Rockets vs Eastern Michigan Eagles: Eastern Michigan Eagles shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Eastern Michigan Eagles host Toledo Rockets in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 at Rynearson Stadium. Our prediction for Toledo Rockets vs Eastern Michigan Eagles is Eastern Michigan Eagles to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Toledo Rockets 21.2 and Eastern Michigan Eagles 23.6. Our best bet is Over 34.5 points at -300.

Eastern Michigan Eagles form

Eastern Michigan Eagles have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 372 points scored and 427 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Toledo Rockets form

Toledo Rockets have 11 wins and 5 losses in their last 16 games, with 552 points scored and 256 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Toledo Rockets to score about 21.2 points and Eastern Michigan Eagles about 23.6. That points to Eastern Michigan Eagles to win. Our safest bet is Over 34.5 points at -300. Our bold bet is Toledo to win at +145.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

E MichiganToledo
Games played1616
Wins711
Losses95
Points scored372552
Points conceded427256
Scored per game23.334.5
Conceded per game26.716.0
Home record5W 3L8W 0L
Away record2W 6L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

E Michigan spreadCoversFair
E Michigan -9.533%+204
E Michigan -5.542%+136
E Michigan -2.550%+101
E Michigan +0.557%-134
E Michigan +4.567%-201
Total pointsOverUnder
37.568%32%
41.558%42%
44.551%49%
47.543%57%
51.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. E Michigan +3.5 wins if E Michigan win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Toledo Rockets vs Eastern Michigan Eagles?

Our prediction for Toledo Rockets vs Eastern Michigan Eagles is Eastern Michigan Eagles to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Toledo Rockets 21.2 and Eastern Michigan Eagles 23.6. Our best bet is Over 34.5 points at -300.

What is the projected score for Toledo Rockets vs Eastern Michigan Eagles?

We project Toledo Rockets 21.2 and Eastern Michigan Eagles 23.6, about 44.9 points in total.

How are Eastern Michigan Eagles playing?

Eastern Michigan Eagles have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 372 points scored and 427 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Toledo Rockets playing?

Toledo Rockets have 11 wins and 5 losses in their last 16 games, with 552 points scored and 256 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Toledo Rockets vs Eastern Michigan Eagles?

Over 34.5 points at -300, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in E Michigan against Toledo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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