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Predictions › United States › Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets
College FootballWed 4 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets prediction

Hornet Stadium

Toledo RocketsAway
29.0 : 21.2
projected points
Sacramento State HornetsHome
71%Toledo
29%Sacramento St
Eagle safe pickToledo +2.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets is Toledo Rockets to win, with a 71% chance. We project Toledo Rockets 29.0 and Sacramento State Hornets 21.2. Our best bet is Toledo +2.5 at -303.

Prediction
Toledo Rockets to win
Chance
71%
Projected score
Toledo Rockets 29, Sacramento State Hornets 21
Projected total
50.3 points
Best bet
Toledo +2.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Toledo +2.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sacramento St to win
29% chanceFair price +2411 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sacramento State Hornets 29% and Toledo Rockets 71%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sacramento State Hornets won 0 of their last 5 and Toledo Rockets won 4 of their last 5. Toledo Rockets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sacramento State Hornets won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Toledo Rockets won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Sacramento State Hornets score 28.2 points a game and let in 29.9. Toledo Rockets score 33.6 and let in 17.4. Their recent games average 58.1 and 51.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Toledo +2.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sacramento Strest between games-5%
  • Toledorest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets: Toledo Rockets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sacramento State Hornets host Toledo Rockets in the College Football on Wed 4 Nov, 00:00 at Hornet Stadium. Our prediction for Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets is Toledo Rockets to win, with a 71% chance. We project Toledo Rockets 29.0 and Sacramento State Hornets 21.2. Our best bet is Toledo +2.5 at -303.

Sacramento State Hornets form

Sacramento State Hornets have 8 wins and 10 losses in their last 18 games, with 507 points scored and 538 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Toledo Rockets form

Toledo Rockets have 13 wins and 6 losses in their last 19 games, with 639 points scored and 331 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Toledo Rockets to score about 29.0 points and Sacramento State Hornets about 21.2. That points to Toledo Rockets to win. Our safest bet is Toledo +2.5 at -303. Our bold bet is Sacramento St to win at +241.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

Sacramento StToledo
Games played1819
Wins813
Losses106
Points scored507639
Points conceded538331
Scored per game28.233.6
Conceded per game29.917.4
Home record5W 5L9W 1L
Away record3W 5L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Sacramento St spreadCoversFair
Sacramento St +0.532%+209
Sacramento St +4.542%+139
Sacramento St +7.549%+103
Sacramento St +10.557%-131
Sacramento St +14.566%-196
Total pointsOverUnder
43.566%34%
47.557%43%
50.549%51%
53.542%58%
57.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Sacramento St +3.5 wins if Sacramento St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets?

Our prediction for Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets is Toledo Rockets to win, with a 71% chance. We project Toledo Rockets 29.0 and Sacramento State Hornets 21.2. Our best bet is Toledo +2.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets?

We project Toledo Rockets 29.0 and Sacramento State Hornets 21.2, about 50.3 points in total.

How are Sacramento State Hornets playing?

Sacramento State Hornets have 8 wins and 10 losses in their last 18 games, with 507 points scored and 538 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Toledo Rockets playing?

Toledo Rockets have 13 wins and 6 losses in their last 19 games, with 639 points scored and 331 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets?

Toledo +2.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sacramento St against Toledo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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