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Predictions › Italy › Torino vs Como
Serie ATue 27 Oct, 19:45 Italy time

Torino vs Como prediction

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

TorinoHome
1.04 : 1.95
expected goals
ComoAway
19%Torino
23%Draw
58%Como
Eagle safe pickComo or Draw
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Torino vs Como is Como to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Como or Draw at 1.25.

Prediction
Como to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Torino 1.0, Como 1.9
Best bet
Como or Draw at 1.25
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Como or Draw
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Como to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Torino 19%, the draw 23% and Como 58%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Torino took 7 points from their last 5 games and Como took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Torino won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Como won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Torino score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.5. Como score 1.9 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Torino games and 12 of Como games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Torino won 0 and Como won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Como 6, Torino 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Como or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Torinorecent form-1%
  • Comorecent form+1%
Torino form D D L W LComo form D D L W WHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Torino vs Como: Como are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Torino host Como in the Serie A on Tue 27 Oct, 19:45 at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. Our prediction for Torino vs Como is Como to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Como or Draw at 1.25.

Torino form

Torino have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Como form

Como have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Torino won 0, Como won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Como 6, Torino 0.

Our call

We expect Torino to score about 1.0 goals and Como about 1.9. That points to Como to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Como or Draw at 1.25. Our bold bet is Como to win and Over 2.5 at 2.54.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TorinoComo
Games played2020
Wins712
Draws44
Losses94
Goals scored2739
Goals conceded3020
Scored per game1.41.9
Conceded per game1.51.0
Home record5W 2D 3L6W 2D 1L
Away record2W 2D 6L6W 2D 3L
Clean sheets15%35%
Both teams scored70%60%
Over 2.5 goals70%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals57%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%2.86
Both teams to score56%1.79
Torino or Draw42%2.38
Como or Draw81%1.24
Torino to win and Over 2.512%8.52
Como to win and Over 2.539%2.55
Torino clean sheet14%7.03
Como clean sheet35%2.82

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
1-29.9%
0-29.6%
0-19.2%
1-36.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Torino vs Como?

Our prediction for Torino vs Como is Como to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Como or Draw at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Torino vs Como?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect Torino to score 1.0 goals and Como 1.9.

Will both teams score in Torino vs Como?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Torino last 20 games and 12 of Como last 20.

How are Torino playing?

Torino have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Como playing?

Como have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Torino and Como last met?

It ended Como 6, Torino 0. In the last 2 meetings Torino won 0 and Como won 2.

What is the best bet for Torino vs Como?

Como or Draw at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Torino against Como. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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