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Predictions › Italy › Torino vs Lecce
Serie ASat 7 Nov, 14:00 Italy time

Torino vs Lecce prediction

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

TorinoHome
1.36 : 1.32
expected goals
LecceAway
37%Torino
27%Draw
35%Lecce
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Torino vs Lecce is Torino to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Torino to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Torino 1.4, Lecce 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.651 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Torino 37%, the draw 27% and Lecce 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Torino took 10 points from their last 5 games and Lecce took 6 from 5. Torino come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Torino won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Lecce won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Torino score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.5. Lecce score 1.0 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Torino games and 11 of Lecce games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Torino won 1 and Lecce won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Torino 1, Lecce 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Torinorecent form+4%
  • Torinorest between games-5%
Torino form D W W W DLecce form D W L L WHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Torino vs Lecce: Torino shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Torino host Lecce in the Serie A on Sat 7 Nov, 14:00 at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. Our prediction for Torino vs Lecce is Torino to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Torino form

Torino have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Lecce form

Lecce have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Torino won 1, Lecce won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Torino 1, Lecce 0.

Our call

We expect Torino to score about 1.4 goals and Lecce about 1.3. That points to Torino to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.65.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TorinoLecce
Games played2020
Wins87
Draws42
Losses811
Goals scored3120
Goals conceded3031
Scored per game1.61.0
Conceded per game1.51.6
Home record5W 2D 3L3W 1D 5L
Away record3W 2D 5L4W 1D 6L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored75%40%
Over 2.5 goals75%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%2.00
Over 3.5 goals28%3.57
Both teams to score55%1.81
Torino or Draw65%1.55
Lecce or Draw63%1.59
Torino to win and Over 2.522%4.50
Lecce to win and Over 2.521%4.75
Torino clean sheet27%3.74
Lecce clean sheet26%3.88

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-08.6%
2-18.4%
0-18.4%
1-28.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Torino vs Lecce?

Our prediction for Torino vs Lecce is Torino to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Torino vs Lecce?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Torino to score 1.4 goals and Lecce 1.3.

Will both teams score in Torino vs Lecce?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Torino last 20 games and 8 of Lecce last 20.

How are Torino playing?

Torino have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Lecce playing?

Lecce have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Torino and Lecce last met?

It ended Torino 1, Lecce 0. In the last 2 meetings Torino won 1 and Lecce won 1.

What is the best bet for Torino vs Lecce?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Torino against Lecce. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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