Predictions › Italy › Torino vs Udinese

Serie AMon 12 Oct, 18:45 Italy time

Torino vs Udinese prediction

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

TorinoHome

1.45 : 1.36

expected goals

UdineseAway

39%Torino

27%Draw

35%Udinese

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Torino vs Udinese is Torino to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction: Torino to win
Chance: 39%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Torino 1.4, Udinese 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score: 58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 1.302 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7.951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Torino 39%, the draw 27% and Udinese 35%. The bookmakers agree and make Torino the favourite at 2.25.
2
Recent form
Torino took 4 points from their last 5 games and Udinese took 4 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Torino won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Udinese won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Torino score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Udinese score 1.4 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Torino games and 9 of Udinese games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Torino won 0 and Udinese won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Udinese 2, Torino 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Torinorecent form-3%
Udineserecent form-1%

Torino form D L W L LUdinese form L L L W WHome edge in this league 11% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Torino vs Udinese: Torino shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Torino host Udinese in the Serie A on Mon 12 Oct, 18:45 at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. Our prediction for Torino vs Udinese is Torino to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Torino form

Torino have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Udinese form

Udinese have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Torino won 0, Udinese won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Udinese 2, Torino 0.

Our call

We expect Torino to score about 1.4 goals and Udinese about 1.4. That points to Torino to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.95.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Torino	Udinese
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	6
Draws	5	4
Losses	9	10
Goals scored	27	27
Goals conceded	31	25
Scored per game	1.4	1.4
Conceded per game	1.6	1.3
Home record	4W 2D 3L	2W 2D 6L
Away record	2W 3D 6L	4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets	15%	30%
Both teams scored	70%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Torino to win	36%	2.74	2.25	-18.0%
A Draw	26%	3.83	3.15	-17.8%
Udinese to win	33%	3.00	2.90	-3.2%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	2.20	2.00	-9.1%
Under 2.5 goals	49%	2.05	1.71	-16.6%
Torino -0.5	38%	2.60	2.15	-17.4%
Udinese +0.5	56%	1.80	1.56	-13.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	78%	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	53%	1.88
Over 3.5 goals	31%	3.22
Both teams to score	58%	1.73
Torino or Draw	65%	1.53
Udinese or Draw	61%	1.63
Torino to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.12
Udinese to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.60
Torino clean sheet	26%	3.91
Udinese clean sheet	24%	4.25

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%

2-18.6%

1-28.1%

1-08.0%

0-17.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Serie A

Udinese Secure Signing of Champion Defender David Alaba

Former Real Madrid and Bayern Munich defender David Alaba has officially signed with Serie A side Udinese as a free agent.

24 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Torino vs Udinese?

Our prediction for Torino vs Udinese is Torino to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Torino vs Udinese?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Torino to score 1.4 goals and Udinese 1.4.

Will both teams score in Torino vs Udinese?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Torino last 20 games and 8 of Udinese last 20.

How are Torino playing?

How are Udinese playing?

What happened when Torino and Udinese last met?

It ended Udinese 2, Torino 0. In the last 2 meetings Torino won 0 and Udinese won 2.

What is the best bet for Torino vs Udinese?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Torino against Udinese. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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