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Predictions › United States › Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles
MLBTue 22 Sept, 18:35 United States time

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles prediction

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Toronto Blue JaysAway
4.1 : 4.0
projected runs
Baltimore OriolesHome
52%Blue Jays
48%Orioles
Eagle safe pickOrioles +2.5
-260

Quick answer

Our prediction for Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles is Toronto Blue Jays to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Toronto Blue Jays 4.1 and Baltimore Orioles 4.0. Our best bet is Orioles +2.5 at -260.

Prediction
Toronto Blue Jays to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Toronto Blue Jays 4, Baltimore Orioles 4
Projected total
8.1 runs
Best bet
Orioles +2.5 at -260

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Orioles +2.5
72% chanceFair price -2601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Baltimore Orioles 48% and Toronto Blue Jays 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Baltimore Orioles won 3 of their last 5 and Toronto Blue Jays won 2 of their last 5. Baltimore Orioles come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Baltimore Orioles won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Toronto Blue Jays won 6 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Baltimore Orioles score 4.6 runs a game and let in 4.3. Toronto Blue Jays score 4.3 and let in 3.8. Their recent games average 8.9 and 8.2 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Baltimore Orioles won 2 and Toronto Blue Jays won 3. The last one ended Toronto Blue Jays 7, Baltimore Orioles 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Orioles +2.5 has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Oriolesrest between games-5%
  • Blue Jaysrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles: Toronto Blue Jays shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Baltimore Orioles host Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB on Tue 22 Sept, 18:35 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Our prediction for Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles is Toronto Blue Jays to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Toronto Blue Jays 4.1 and Baltimore Orioles 4.0. Our best bet is Orioles +2.5 at -260.

Baltimore Orioles form

Baltimore Orioles have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 92 runs scored and 86 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Toronto Blue Jays form

Toronto Blue Jays have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 87 runs scored and 76 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Baltimore Orioles won 2, Toronto Blue Jays won 3. Last time out it finished Toronto Blue Jays 7, Baltimore Orioles 3.

Our call

We expect Toronto Blue Jays to score about 4.1 runs and Baltimore Orioles about 4.0. That points to Toronto Blue Jays to win. Our safest bet is Orioles +2.5 at -260.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OriolesBlue Jays
Games played2020
Wins1011
Losses109
Runs scored9287
Runs conceded8676
Scored per game4.64.3
Conceded per game4.33.8
Home record3W 6L5W 3L
Away record7W 4L6W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Orioles spreadCoversFair
Orioles -1.535%+184
Orioles -0.544%+125
Orioles +0.554%-117
Orioles +1.563%-171
Orioles +2.572%-253
Total runsOverUnder
6.564%36%
7.555%45%
8.546%54%
9.537%63%
10.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Orioles +3.5 wins if Orioles win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles?

Our prediction for Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles is Toronto Blue Jays to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Toronto Blue Jays 4.1 and Baltimore Orioles 4.0. Our best bet is Orioles +2.5 at -260.

What is the projected score for Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles?

We project Toronto Blue Jays 4.1 and Baltimore Orioles 4.0, about 8.1 runs in total.

How are Baltimore Orioles playing?

Baltimore Orioles have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 92 runs scored and 86 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Toronto Blue Jays playing?

Toronto Blue Jays have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 87 runs scored and 76 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays last met?

It ended Toronto Blue Jays 7, Baltimore Orioles 3. In the last 5 meetings Baltimore Orioles won 2 and Toronto Blue Jays won 3.

What is the best bet for Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles?

Orioles +2.5 at -260, with a 72% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Orioles against Blue Jays. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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