EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › Toronto FC vs CF Montréal
MLSSat 10 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Toronto FC vs CF Montréal prediction

BMO Field

Toronto FCHome
2.73 : 1.52
expected goals
CF MontréalAway
63%Toronto
18%Draw
19%CF Montréal
Eagle safe pickToronto FC or Draw
-356

Quick answer

Our prediction for Toronto FC vs CF Montréal is Toronto FC to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Toronto FC or Draw at -356.

Prediction
Toronto FC to win
Chance
63%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Toronto FC 2.7, CF Montréal 1.5
Best bet
Toronto FC or Draw at -356
Both teams to score
73%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Toronto FC or Draw
78% chanceFair price -3562 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Toronto FC to win and both score
40% chanceFair price +1521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toronto FC 63%, the draw 18% and CF Montréal 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toronto FC took 4 points from their last 5 games and CF Montréal took 3 from 5. Toronto FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toronto FC won 2 of their last 10 games at home. CF Montréal won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Toronto FC score 1.4 goals a game and let in 2.0. CF Montréal score 1.3 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Toronto FC games and 10 of CF Montréal games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Toronto FC won 0 and CF Montréal won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended CF Montréal 0, Toronto FC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Toronto FC or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Torontorecent form-3%
  • CF Montréalrecent form-4%
Toronto form L L L W DCF Montréal form W L L L LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Toronto FC vs CF Montréal: Toronto FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toronto FC host CF Montréal in the MLS on Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 at BMO Field. Our prediction for Toronto FC vs CF Montréal is Toronto FC to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Toronto FC or Draw at -356.

Toronto FC form

Toronto FC have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, D, newest first.

CF Montréal form

CF Montréal have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Toronto FC won 0, CF Montréal won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished CF Montréal 0, Toronto FC 0.

Our call

We expect Toronto FC to score about 2.7 goals and CF Montréal about 1.5. That points to Toronto FC to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Toronto FC or Draw at -356. Our bold bet is Toronto FC to win and both score at +152.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TorontoCF Montréal
Games played2020
Wins35
Draws96
Losses89
Goals scored2926
Goals conceded4035
Scored per game1.41.3
Conceded per game2.01.8
Home record2W 6D 2L4W 5D 4L
Away record1W 3D 6L1W 1D 5L
Clean sheets10%15%
Both teams scored80%55%
Over 2.5 goals70%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals93%-1307
Over 2.5 goals80%-392
Over 3.5 goals61%-160
Both teams to score73%-277
Toronto FC or Draw81%-415
CF Montréal or Draw37%+168
Toronto FC to win and Over 2.554%-117
CF Montréal to win and Over 2.516%+527
Toronto FC clean sheet22%+359
CF Montréal clean sheet7%+1435

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.1%
3-17.3%
1-16.3%
2-26.1%
3-25.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Toronto FC vs CF Montréal?

Our prediction for Toronto FC vs CF Montréal is Toronto FC to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Toronto FC or Draw at -356.

What is the score prediction for Toronto FC vs CF Montréal?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 1-1. We expect Toronto FC to score 2.7 goals and CF Montréal 1.5.

Will both teams score in Toronto FC vs CF Montréal?

Both teams to score has a 73% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Toronto FC last 20 games and 11 of CF Montréal last 20.

How are Toronto FC playing?

Toronto FC have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, D, newest first.

How are CF Montréal playing?

CF Montréal have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Toronto FC and CF Montréal last met?

It ended CF Montréal 0, Toronto FC 0. In the last 1 meeting Toronto FC won 0 and CF Montréal won 0.

What is the best bet for Toronto FC vs CF Montréal?

Toronto FC or Draw at -356, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Toronto against CF Montréal. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.