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Predictions › United States › Toronto FC vs D.C. United
MLSWed 28 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Toronto FC vs D.C. United prediction

BMO Field

Toronto FCHome
2.21 : 1.58
expected goals
D.C. UnitedAway
52%Toronto
21%Draw
27%D.C. United
Eagle safe pickToronto FC or Draw
-291

Quick answer

Our prediction for Toronto FC vs D.C. United is Toronto FC to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Toronto FC or Draw at -291.

Prediction
Toronto FC to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Toronto FC 2.2, D.C. United 1.6
Best bet
Toronto FC or Draw at -291
Both teams to score
71%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Toronto FC or Draw
74% chanceFair price -2911 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Toronto FC to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price +1321 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toronto FC 52%, the draw 21% and D.C. United 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toronto FC took 7 points from their last 5 games and D.C. United took 4 from 5. Toronto FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toronto FC won 3 of their last 9 games at home. D.C. United won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Toronto FC score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.8. D.C. United score 1.4 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Toronto FC games and 14 of D.C. United games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Toronto FC won 0 and D.C. United won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended D.C. United 2, Toronto FC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Toronto FC or Draw has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Torontorecent form-1%
  • D.C. Unitedrecent form-1%
  • Torontorest between games-5%
  • D.C. Unitedrest between games-5%
Toronto form D D W L LD.C. United form D W L D LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Toronto FC vs D.C. United: Toronto FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toronto FC host D.C. United in the MLS on Wed 28 Oct, 19:30 at BMO Field. Our prediction for Toronto FC vs D.C. United is Toronto FC to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Toronto FC or Draw at -291.

Toronto FC form

Toronto FC have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

D.C. United form

D.C. United have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Toronto FC won 0, D.C. United won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished D.C. United 2, Toronto FC 1.

Our call

We expect Toronto FC to score about 2.2 goals and D.C. United about 1.6. That points to Toronto FC to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Toronto FC or Draw at -291. Our bold bet is Toronto FC to win and Over 2.5 at +132.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TorontoD.C. United
Games played2020
Wins55
Draws89
Losses76
Goals scored2929
Goals conceded3638
Scored per game1.41.4
Conceded per game1.81.9
Home record3W 5D 1L4W 5D 3L
Away record2W 3D 6L1W 4D 3L
Clean sheets15%15%
Both teams scored75%75%
Over 2.5 goals65%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals90%-863
Over 2.5 goals73%-269
Over 3.5 goals52%-110
Both teams to score71%-246
Toronto FC or Draw73%-271
D.C. United or Draw48%+107
Toronto FC to win and Over 2.542%+140
D.C. United to win and Over 2.521%+375
Toronto FC clean sheet21%+384
D.C. United clean sheet11%+812

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.7%
1-18.4%
2-26.9%
3-16.4%
1-26.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLS

Messi Scores Twice as Inter Miami Wins 4-0 Over D.C. United

Lionel Messi scored two goals to lead Inter Miami to a 4-0 victory over D.C. United shortly after finishing his international career with Argentina.

11 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Toronto FC vs D.C. United?

Our prediction for Toronto FC vs D.C. United is Toronto FC to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Toronto FC or Draw at -291.

What is the score prediction for Toronto FC vs D.C. United?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-2. We expect Toronto FC to score 2.2 goals and D.C. United 1.6.

Will both teams score in Toronto FC vs D.C. United?

Both teams to score has a 71% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Toronto FC last 20 games and 15 of D.C. United last 20.

How are Toronto FC playing?

Toronto FC have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

How are D.C. United playing?

D.C. United have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Toronto FC and D.C. United last met?

It ended D.C. United 2, Toronto FC 1. In the last 1 meeting Toronto FC won 0 and D.C. United won 1.

What is the best bet for Toronto FC vs D.C. United?

Toronto FC or Draw at -291, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Toronto against D.C. United. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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