Predictions › United States › Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC

MLSWed 14 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC prediction

BMO Field

Toronto FCHome

3.10 : 2.30

expected goals

Orlando City SCAway

55%Toronto

17%Draw

28%Orlando

Eagle safe pickBoth teams to score

-510

Quick answer

Our prediction for Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC is Toronto FC to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 3-2. Our best bet is Both teams to score at -510.

Prediction: Toronto FC to win
Chance: 55%
Most likely score: 3-2
Expected goals: Toronto FC 3.1, Orlando City SC 2.3
Best bet: Both teams to score at -510
Both teams to score: 86%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Both teams to score

84% chanceFair price -5102 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Toronto FC to win and both score

43% chanceFair price +1351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Toronto FC 55%, the draw 17% and Orlando City SC 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Toronto FC took 4 points from their last 5 games and Orlando City SC took 9 from 5. Orlando City SC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Toronto FC won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Orlando City SC won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Toronto FC score 1.4 goals a game and let in 2.0. Orlando City SC score 2.1 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Toronto FC games and 14 of Orlando City SC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Toronto FC won 1 and Orlando City SC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Orlando City SC 3, Toronto FC 0.
6
The safest bet
Both teams to score has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Torontorecent form-3%
Orlandorecent form-1%

Toronto form L L L W DOrlando form L L L W WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC: Toronto FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toronto FC host Orlando City SC in the MLS on Wed 14 Oct, 19:30 at BMO Field. Our prediction for Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC is Toronto FC to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 3-2. Our best bet is Both teams to score at -510.

Toronto FC form

Toronto FC have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Orlando City SC form

Orlando City SC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Toronto FC won 1, Orlando City SC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Orlando City SC 3, Toronto FC 0.

Our call

We expect Toronto FC to score about 3.1 goals and Orlando City SC about 2.3. That points to Toronto FC to win, with 3-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Both teams to score at -510. Our bold bet is Toronto FC to win and both score at +135.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Toronto	Orlando
Games played	20	20
Wins	3	9
Draws	9	3
Losses	8	8
Goals scored	29	42
Goals conceded	40	40
Scored per game	1.4	2.1
Conceded per game	2.0	2.0
Home record	2W 6D 2L	6W 2D 2L
Away record	1W 3D 6L	3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets	10%	20%
Both teams scored	80%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	97%	-3606
Over 2.5 goals	91%	-955
Over 3.5 goals	79%	-369
Both teams to score	86%	-621
Toronto FC or Draw	72%	-253
Orlando City SC or Draw	45%	+120
Toronto FC to win and Over 2.5	51%	-105
Orlando City SC to win and Over 2.5	26%	+280
Toronto FC clean sheet	10%	+900
Orlando City SC clean sheet	5%	+2112

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

3-25.9%

2-25.7%

3-15.2%

2-15.0%

4-24.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC?

Our prediction for Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC is Toronto FC to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 3-2. Our best bet is Both teams to score at -510.

What is the score prediction for Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC?

3-2 is the most likely score, followed by 2-2 and 3-1. We expect Toronto FC to score 3.1 goals and Orlando City SC 2.3.

Will both teams score in Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC?

Both teams to score has a 86% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Toronto FC last 20 games and 14 of Orlando City SC last 20.

How are Toronto FC playing?

How are Orlando City SC playing?

What happened when Toronto FC and Orlando City SC last met?

It ended Orlando City SC 3, Toronto FC 0. In the last 2 meetings Toronto FC won 1 and Orlando City SC won 1.

What is the best bet for Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC?

Both teams to score at -510, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Toronto against Orlando. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.