EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames
NHLMon 26 Oct, 20:30 United States time

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames prediction

Scotiabank Saddledome

Toronto Maple LeafsAway
3.2 : 3.3
projected goals
Calgary FlamesHome
51%Maple Leafs
50%Flames
Eagle safe pickMaple Leafs +2
-426

Quick answer

Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames is Toronto Maple Leafs to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.2 and Calgary Flames 3.3. Our best bet is Maple Leafs +2 at -426.

Prediction
Toronto Maple Leafs to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Calgary Flames 3
Projected total
6.5 goals
Best bet
Maple Leafs +2 at -426

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Maple Leafs +2
81% chanceFair price -4262 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Calgary Flames 50% and Toronto Maple Leafs 51%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Calgary Flames won 1 of their last 5 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 2 of their last 5. Toronto Maple Leafs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Calgary Flames won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Toronto Maple Leafs won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Calgary Flames score 2.3 goals a game and let in 4.1. Toronto Maple Leafs score 3.3 and let in 3.9. Their recent games average 6.4 and 7.2 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Calgary Flames won 0 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 2. The last one ended Calgary Flames 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Maple Leafs +2 has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Flamesrest between games-5%
  • Maple Leafsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames: Toronto Maple Leafs shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Calgary Flames host Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL on Mon 26 Oct, 20:30 at Scotiabank Saddledome. Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames is Toronto Maple Leafs to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.2 and Calgary Flames 3.3. Our best bet is Maple Leafs +2 at -426.

Calgary Flames form

Calgary Flames have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 82 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 65 goals scored and 78 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Calgary Flames won 0, Toronto Maple Leafs won 2. Last time out it finished Calgary Flames 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4.

Our call

We expect Toronto Maple Leafs to score about 3.2 goals and Calgary Flames about 3.3. That points to Toronto Maple Leafs to win. Our safest bet is Maple Leafs +2 at -426.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FlamesMaple Leafs
Games played2020
Wins56
Losses1514
Goals scored4665
Goals conceded8278
Scored per game2.33.3
Conceded per game4.13.9
Home record3W 5L3W 7L
Away record2W 10L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Flames spreadCoversFair
Flames -1.528%+262
Flames -0.543%+133
Flames +0.559%-147
Total goalsOverUnder
5.566%34%
6.549%51%
7.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Flames +3.5 wins if Flames win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames?

Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames is Toronto Maple Leafs to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.2 and Calgary Flames 3.3. Our best bet is Maple Leafs +2 at -426.

What is the projected score for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames?

We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.2 and Calgary Flames 3.3, about 6.5 goals in total.

How are Calgary Flames playing?

Calgary Flames have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 82 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 65 goals scored and 78 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Calgary Flames and Toronto Maple Leafs last met?

It ended Calgary Flames 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4. In the last 2 meetings Calgary Flames won 0 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 2.

What is the best bet for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames?

Maple Leafs +2 at -426, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Flames against Maple Leafs. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.