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Predictions › United States › Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks
NHLTue 17 Nov, 19:30 United States time

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction

United Center

Toronto Maple LeafsAway
3.6 : 3.0
projected goals
Chicago BlackhawksHome
62%Maple Leafs
38%Blackhawks
Eagle safe pickOver 5 goals
-372

Quick answer

Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks is Toronto Maple Leafs to win, with a 62% chance. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.6 and Chicago Blackhawks 3.0. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -372.

Prediction
Toronto Maple Leafs to win
Chance
62%
Projected score
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Projected total
6.6 goals
Best bet
Over 5 goals at -372

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 5 goals
79% chanceFair price -3722 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Blackhawks to win
38% chanceFair price +1641 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Chicago Blackhawks 38% and Toronto Maple Leafs 62%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Chicago Blackhawks won 0 of their last 5 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 1 of their last 5. Toronto Maple Leafs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Chicago Blackhawks won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Toronto Maple Leafs won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Chicago Blackhawks score 2.1 goals a game and let in 4.0. Toronto Maple Leafs score 3.4 and let in 3.3. Their recent games average 6.0 and 6.7 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Chicago Blackhawks won 1 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 1. The last one ended Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Blackhawksrest between games-2%
  • Maple Leafsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks: Toronto Maple Leafs are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Chicago Blackhawks host Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL on Tue 17 Nov, 19:30 at United Center. Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks is Toronto Maple Leafs to win, with a 62% chance. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.6 and Chicago Blackhawks 3.0. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -372.

Chicago Blackhawks form

Chicago Blackhawks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 79 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 66 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Chicago Blackhawks won 1, Toronto Maple Leafs won 1. Last time out it finished Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2.

Our call

We expect Toronto Maple Leafs to score about 3.6 goals and Chicago Blackhawks about 3.0. That points to Toronto Maple Leafs to win. Our safest bet is Over 5 goals at -372. Our bold bet is Blackhawks to win at +164.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BlackhawksMaple Leafs
Games played2020
Wins59
Losses1511
Goals scored4268
Goals conceded7966
Scored per game2.13.4
Conceded per game4.03.3
Home record5W 5L4W 7L
Away record0W 10L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Blackhawks spreadCoversFair
Blackhawks -0.533%+206
Blackhawks +0.549%+105
Blackhawks +1.565%-185
Total goalsOverUnder
5.568%32%
6.552%48%
7.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Blackhawks +3.5 wins if Blackhawks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Sabres Forward Jiri Kulich Hits Game Winner After Year Out With Blood Clot

Buffalo Sabres forward Jiri Kulich scored the game winner against Chicago after missing nearly a year with a career threatening blood clot.

4 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks?

Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks is Toronto Maple Leafs to win, with a 62% chance. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.6 and Chicago Blackhawks 3.0. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -372.

What is the projected score for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks?

We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.6 and Chicago Blackhawks 3.0, about 6.6 goals in total.

How are Chicago Blackhawks playing?

Chicago Blackhawks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 79 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 66 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Chicago Blackhawks and Toronto Maple Leafs last met?

It ended Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2. In the last 2 meetings Chicago Blackhawks won 1 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 1.

What is the best bet for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks?

Over 5 goals at -372, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Blackhawks against Maple Leafs. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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