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Predictions › United States › Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche
NHLSat 10 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche prediction

Ball Arena

Toronto Maple LeafsAway
2.6 : 4.3
projected goals
Colorado AvalancheHome
23%Maple Leafs
77%Avalanche
Eagle safe pickOver 5 goals
-415

Quick answer

Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 77% chance. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 2.6 and Colorado Avalanche 4.3. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -415.

Prediction
Colorado Avalanche to win
Chance
77%
Projected score
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Colorado Avalanche 4
Projected total
6.9 goals
Best bet
Over 5 goals at -415

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 5 goals
81% chanceFair price -4152 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado Avalanche 77% and Toronto Maple Leafs 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado Avalanche won 2 of their last 5 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado Avalanche won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Toronto Maple Leafs won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Colorado Avalanche score 3.0 goals a game and let in 2.4. Toronto Maple Leafs score 2.9 and let in 3.9. Their recent games average 5.4 and 6.8 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Colorado Avalanche won 1 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 1. The last one ended Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Colorado Avalanche 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Maple Leafsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche: Colorado Avalanche are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Colorado Avalanche host Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL on Sat 10 Oct, 19:00 at Ball Arena. Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 77% chance. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 2.6 and Colorado Avalanche 4.3. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -415.

Colorado Avalanche form

Colorado Avalanche have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 47 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 77 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Colorado Avalanche won 1, Toronto Maple Leafs won 1. Last time out it finished Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Colorado Avalanche 4.

Our call

We expect Toronto Maple Leafs to score about 2.6 goals and Colorado Avalanche about 4.3. That points to Colorado Avalanche to win. Our safest bet is Over 5 goals at -415.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AvalancheMaple Leafs
Games played2020
Wins136
Losses714
Goals scored6158
Goals conceded4777
Scored per game3.02.9
Conceded per game2.43.9
Home record8W 2L2W 7L
Away record5W 5L4W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Avalanche spreadCoversFair
Avalanche -2.535%+183
Avalanche -1.552%-106
Avalanche -0.568%-208
Total goalsOverUnder
5.573%27%
6.557%43%
7.540%60%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Avalanche +3.5 wins if Avalanche win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche?

Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 77% chance. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 2.6 and Colorado Avalanche 4.3. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -415.

What is the projected score for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche?

We project Toronto Maple Leafs 2.6 and Colorado Avalanche 4.3, about 6.9 goals in total.

How are Colorado Avalanche playing?

Colorado Avalanche have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 47 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 77 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Colorado Avalanche and Toronto Maple Leafs last met?

It ended Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Colorado Avalanche 4. In the last 2 meetings Colorado Avalanche won 1 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 1.

What is the best bet for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche?

Over 5 goals at -415, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Avalanche against Maple Leafs. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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