Predictions › United States › Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets
NHLTue 20 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets prediction

Nationwide Arena

Toronto Maple LeafsAway
2.9 : 3.7
projected goals
Columbus Blue JacketsHome
38%Maple Leafs
62%Blue Jackets
Eagle safe pickBlue Jackets +1
-342

Quick answer

Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets is Columbus Blue Jackets to win, with a 62% chance. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9 and Columbus Blue Jackets 3.7. Our best bet is Blue Jackets +1 at -342.

Prediction
Columbus Blue Jackets to win
Chance
62%
Projected score
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 4
Projected total
6.6 goals
Best bet
Blue Jackets +1 at -342

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Blue Jackets +1
77% chanceFair price -3422 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Maple Leafs to win
34% chanceFair price +1941 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Columbus Blue Jackets 62% and Toronto Maple Leafs 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Columbus Blue Jackets won 3 of their last 5 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Columbus Blue Jackets won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Toronto Maple Leafs won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Columbus Blue Jackets score 2.4 goals a game and let in 3.0. Toronto Maple Leafs score 3.1 and let in 3.8. Their recent games average 5.3 and 6.9 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Columbus Blue Jackets won 2 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 1. The last one ended Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Blue Jackets +1 has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Blue Jacketsrest between games-5%
  • Maple Leafsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets: Columbus Blue Jackets are favourites

The big picture

Columbus Blue Jackets host Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL on Tue 20 Oct, 19:00 at Nationwide Arena. Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets is Columbus Blue Jackets to win, with a 62% chance. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9 and Columbus Blue Jackets 3.7. Our best bet is Blue Jackets +1 at -342.

Columbus Blue Jackets form

Columbus Blue Jackets have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 59 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 76 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Columbus Blue Jackets won 2, Toronto Maple Leafs won 1. Last time out it finished Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2.

Our call

We expect Toronto Maple Leafs to score about 2.9 goals and Columbus Blue Jackets about 3.7. That points to Columbus Blue Jackets to win. Our safest bet is Blue Jackets +1 at -342. Our bold bet is Maple Leafs to win at +194.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Blue JacketsMaple Leafs
Games played2020
Wins87
Losses1213
Goals scored4862
Goals conceded5976
Scored per game2.43.1
Conceded per game3.03.8
Home record4W 7L4W 6L
Away record4W 5L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Blue Jackets spreadCoversFair
Blue Jackets -1.538%+166
Blue Jackets -0.554%-118
Blue Jackets +0.570%-231
Total goalsOverUnder
5.568%32%
6.552%48%
7.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Blue Jackets +3.5 wins if Blue Jackets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets?

Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets is Columbus Blue Jackets to win, with a 62% chance. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9 and Columbus Blue Jackets 3.7. Our best bet is Blue Jackets +1 at -342.

What is the projected score for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets?

We project Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9 and Columbus Blue Jackets 3.7, about 6.6 goals in total.

How are Columbus Blue Jackets playing?

Columbus Blue Jackets have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 59 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 76 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Columbus Blue Jackets and Toronto Maple Leafs last met?

It ended Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2. In the last 3 meetings Columbus Blue Jackets won 2 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 1.

What is the best bet for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets?

Blue Jackets +1 at -342, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Blue Jackets against Maple Leafs. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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