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Predictions › United States › Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken
NHLWed 28 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken prediction

Climate Pledge Arena

Toronto Maple LeafsAway
3.2 : 3.7
projected goals
Seattle KrakenHome
46%Maple Leafs
54%Kraken
Eagle safe pickOver 5 goals
-467

Quick answer

Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken is Seattle Kraken to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.2 and Seattle Kraken 3.7. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -467.

Prediction
Seattle Kraken to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Seattle Kraken 4
Projected total
6.9 goals
Best bet
Over 5 goals at -467

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 5 goals
82% chanceFair price -4672 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Maple Leafs to win
43% chanceFair price +1341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Seattle Kraken 54% and Toronto Maple Leafs 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Seattle Kraken won 3 of their last 5 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 1 of their last 5. Seattle Kraken come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Seattle Kraken won 5 of their last 7 games at home. Toronto Maple Leafs won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Seattle Kraken score 3.3 goals a game and let in 3.4. Toronto Maple Leafs score 3.0 and let in 3.9. Their recent games average 6.7 and 7.0 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Seattle Kraken won 2 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 0. The last one ended Seattle Kraken 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Krakenrest between games-5%
  • Maple Leafsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken: Seattle Kraken shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Seattle Kraken host Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL on Wed 28 Oct, 22:00 at Climate Pledge Arena. Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken is Seattle Kraken to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.2 and Seattle Kraken 3.7. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -467.

Seattle Kraken form

Seattle Kraken have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 68 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 78 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Seattle Kraken won 2, Toronto Maple Leafs won 0. Last time out it finished Seattle Kraken 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2.

Our call

We expect Toronto Maple Leafs to score about 3.2 goals and Seattle Kraken about 3.7. That points to Seattle Kraken to win. Our safest bet is Over 5 goals at -467. Our bold bet is Maple Leafs to win at +134.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KrakenMaple Leafs
Games played2020
Wins105
Losses1015
Goals scored6661
Goals conceded6878
Scored per game3.33.0
Conceded per game3.43.9
Home record5W 2L3W 8L
Away record5W 8L2W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Kraken spreadCoversFair
Kraken -1.533%+201
Kraken -0.549%+103
Kraken +0.565%-190
Total goalsOverUnder
5.573%27%
6.557%43%
7.539%61%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kraken +3.5 wins if Kraken win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Florida Panthers Make NHL History in 8-3 Win Over Seattle

Carter Verhaeghe and Sam Bennett score hat tricks as the Panthers beat Seattle 8-3 to set an NHL scoring record.

18 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken?

Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken is Seattle Kraken to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.2 and Seattle Kraken 3.7. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -467.

What is the projected score for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken?

We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.2 and Seattle Kraken 3.7, about 6.9 goals in total.

How are Seattle Kraken playing?

Seattle Kraken have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 68 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 78 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Seattle Kraken and Toronto Maple Leafs last met?

It ended Seattle Kraken 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2. In the last 2 meetings Seattle Kraken won 2 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 0.

What is the best bet for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken?

Over 5 goals at -467, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kraken against Maple Leafs. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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