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Predictions › United States › Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth
NHLTue 13 Oct, 21:00 United States time

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth prediction

Delta Center

Toronto Maple LeafsAway
3.0 : 3.8
projected goals
Utah MammothHome
33%Maple Leafs
67%Mammoth
Eagle safe pickMammoth +1
-377

Quick answer

Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth is Utah Mammoth to win, with a 67% chance. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.0 and Utah Mammoth 3.8. Our best bet is Mammoth +1 at -377.

Prediction
Utah Mammoth to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Utah Mammoth 4
Projected total
6.8 goals
Best bet
Mammoth +1 at -377

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mammoth +1
79% chanceFair price -3772 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Maple Leafs to win
33% chanceFair price +2041 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Utah Mammoth 67% and Toronto Maple Leafs 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Utah Mammoth won 4 of their last 5 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 3 of their last 5. Utah Mammoth come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Utah Mammoth won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Toronto Maple Leafs won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Utah Mammoth score 3.7 goals a game and let in 3.2. Toronto Maple Leafs score 2.9 and let in 3.8. Their recent games average 6.9 and 6.7 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Utah Mammoth won 1 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 1. The last one ended Utah Mammoth 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Mammoth +1 has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mammothrest between games-5%
  • Maple Leafsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth: Utah Mammoth are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Utah Mammoth host Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL on Tue 13 Oct, 21:00 at Delta Center. Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth is Utah Mammoth to win, with a 67% chance. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.0 and Utah Mammoth 3.8. Our best bet is Mammoth +1 at -377.

Utah Mammoth form

Utah Mammoth have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 74 goals scored and 64 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 76 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Utah Mammoth won 1, Toronto Maple Leafs won 1. Last time out it finished Utah Mammoth 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 1.

Our call

We expect Toronto Maple Leafs to score about 3.0 goals and Utah Mammoth about 3.8. That points to Utah Mammoth to win. Our safest bet is Mammoth +1 at -377. Our bold bet is Maple Leafs to win at +204.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MammothMaple Leafs
Games played2020
Wins116
Losses914
Goals scored7457
Goals conceded6476
Scored per game3.72.9
Conceded per game3.23.8
Home record6W 4L3W 7L
Away record5W 5L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Mammoth spreadCoversFair
Mammoth -1.539%+155
Mammoth -0.556%-126
Mammoth +0.571%-248
Total goalsOverUnder
5.571%29%
6.554%46%
7.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Mammoth +3.5 wins if Mammoth win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth?

Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth is Utah Mammoth to win, with a 67% chance. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.0 and Utah Mammoth 3.8. Our best bet is Mammoth +1 at -377.

What is the projected score for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth?

We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.0 and Utah Mammoth 3.8, about 6.8 goals in total.

How are Utah Mammoth playing?

Utah Mammoth have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 74 goals scored and 64 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 76 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Utah Mammoth and Toronto Maple Leafs last met?

It ended Utah Mammoth 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 1. In the last 2 meetings Utah Mammoth won 1 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 1.

What is the best bet for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth?

Mammoth +1 at -377, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mammoth against Maple Leafs. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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