Predictions › United States › Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks
NHLSat 31 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks prediction

Rogers Arena

Toronto Maple LeafsAway
4.0 : 3.2
projected goals
Vancouver CanucksHome
67%Maple Leafs
33%Canucks
Eagle safe pickUnder 9 goals
-431

Quick answer

Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks is Toronto Maple Leafs to win, with a 67% chance. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 4.0 and Vancouver Canucks 3.2. Our best bet is Under 9 goals at -431.

Prediction
Toronto Maple Leafs to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Vancouver Canucks 3
Projected total
7.2 goals
Best bet
Under 9 goals at -431

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 9 goals
81% chanceFair price -4312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Canucks to win
33% chanceFair price +2041 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vancouver Canucks 33% and Toronto Maple Leafs 67%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vancouver Canucks won 0 of their last 5 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 2 of their last 5. Toronto Maple Leafs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vancouver Canucks won 3 of their last 7 games at home. Toronto Maple Leafs won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Vancouver Canucks score 2.8 goals a game and let in 4.1. Toronto Maple Leafs score 3.1 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 6.8 and 6.7 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Vancouver Canucks won 0 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 2. The last one ended Vancouver Canucks 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 9 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Canucksrest between games-5%
  • Maple Leafsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks: Toronto Maple Leafs are favourites

The big picture

Vancouver Canucks host Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL on Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 at Rogers Arena. Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks is Toronto Maple Leafs to win, with a 67% chance. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 4.0 and Vancouver Canucks 3.2. Our best bet is Under 9 goals at -431.

Vancouver Canucks form

Vancouver Canucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 82 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 63 goals scored and 70 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Vancouver Canucks won 0, Toronto Maple Leafs won 2. Last time out it finished Vancouver Canucks 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3.

Our call

We expect Toronto Maple Leafs to score about 4.0 goals and Vancouver Canucks about 3.2. That points to Toronto Maple Leafs to win. Our safest bet is Under 9 goals at -431. Our bold bet is Canucks to win at +204.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CanucksMaple Leafs
Games played2020
Wins67
Losses1413
Goals scored5563
Goals conceded8270
Scored per game2.83.1
Conceded per game4.13.5
Home record3W 4L4W 8L
Away record3W 10L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Canucks spreadCoversFair
Canucks -0.528%+252
Canucks +0.544%+128
Canucks +1.560%-152
Total goalsOverUnder
6.562%38%
7.545%55%
8.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Canucks +3.5 wins if Canucks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks?

Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks is Toronto Maple Leafs to win, with a 67% chance. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 4.0 and Vancouver Canucks 3.2. Our best bet is Under 9 goals at -431.

What is the projected score for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks?

We project Toronto Maple Leafs 4.0 and Vancouver Canucks 3.2, about 7.2 goals in total.

How are Vancouver Canucks playing?

Vancouver Canucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 82 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 63 goals scored and 70 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Vancouver Canucks and Toronto Maple Leafs last met?

It ended Vancouver Canucks 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3. In the last 2 meetings Vancouver Canucks won 0 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 2.

What is the best bet for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks?

Under 9 goals at -431, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Canucks against Maple Leafs. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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