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Predictions › United States › Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets
NBAWed 4 Nov, 21:00 United States time

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets prediction

Ball Arena

Toronto RaptorsAway
115.6 : 119.1
projected points
Denver NuggetsHome
43%Raptors
57%Nuggets
Eagle safe pickNuggets +4.5
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Toronto Raptors 115.6 and Denver Nuggets 119.1. Our best bet is Nuggets +4.5 at -301.

Prediction
Denver Nuggets to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Toronto Raptors 116, Denver Nuggets 119
Projected total
234.8 points
Best bet
Nuggets +4.5 at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nuggets +4.5
75% chanceFair price -3012 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Raptors to win
38% chanceFair price +1631 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Denver Nuggets 57% and Toronto Raptors 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Denver Nuggets won 3 of their last 5 and Toronto Raptors won 2 of their last 5. Denver Nuggets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Denver Nuggets won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Toronto Raptors won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Denver Nuggets score 117.9 points a game and let in 114.7. Toronto Raptors score 115.3 and let in 110.8. Their recent games average 232.6 and 226.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Denver Nuggets won 3 and Toronto Raptors won 0. The last one ended Denver Nuggets 121, Toronto Raptors 115.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Nuggets +4.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nuggetsrest between games-5%
  • Raptorsrest between games-5%
  • Nuggetsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets: Denver Nuggets shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Denver Nuggets host Toronto Raptors in the NBA on Wed 4 Nov, 21:00 at Ball Arena. Our prediction for Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Toronto Raptors 115.6 and Denver Nuggets 119.1. Our best bet is Nuggets +4.5 at -301.

Denver Nuggets form

Denver Nuggets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2358 points scored and 2294 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Toronto Raptors form

Toronto Raptors have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2305 points scored and 2215 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Denver Nuggets won 3, Toronto Raptors won 0. Last time out it finished Denver Nuggets 121, Toronto Raptors 115.

Our call

We expect Toronto Raptors to score about 115.6 points and Denver Nuggets about 119.1. That points to Denver Nuggets to win. Our safest bet is Nuggets +4.5 at -301. Our bold bet is Raptors to win at +163.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NuggetsRaptors
Games played2020
Wins1310
Losses710
Points scored23582305
Points conceded22942215
Scored per game117.9115.3
Conceded per game114.7110.8
Home record9W 2L9W 1L
Away record4W 5L1W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Nuggets spreadCoversFair
Nuggets -9.532%+216
Nuggets -6.541%+147
Nuggets -3.550%-100
Nuggets -0.560%-147
Nuggets +2.568%-217
Total pointsOverUnder
228.564%36%
231.557%43%
234.551%49%
237.544%56%
240.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Nuggets +3.5 wins if Nuggets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Kawhi Leonard Sitting Out Against Timberwolves With Knee Swelling

Kawhi Leonard will sit out his first game this season for the Toronto Raptors due to left knee swelling.

6 hours ago
NBA

Jokic and Murray Lead Nuggets Back From 23 Down to Beat Pelicans

Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray powered Denver past New Orleans 141-135 in overtime after trailing by 23 points on Saturday.

25 Oct 2026
NBA

Julian Strawther Out Six Weeks With Left Knee Injury

Denver Nuggets guard Julian Strawther sprained his left knee during a preseason game against the Clippers and will be re-evaluated in six weeks.

17 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets?

Our prediction for Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Toronto Raptors 115.6 and Denver Nuggets 119.1. Our best bet is Nuggets +4.5 at -301.

What is the projected score for Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets?

We project Toronto Raptors 115.6 and Denver Nuggets 119.1, about 234.8 points in total.

How are Denver Nuggets playing?

Denver Nuggets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2358 points scored and 2294 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Toronto Raptors playing?

Toronto Raptors have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2305 points scored and 2215 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Denver Nuggets and Toronto Raptors last met?

It ended Denver Nuggets 121, Toronto Raptors 115. In the last 3 meetings Denver Nuggets won 3 and Toronto Raptors won 0.

What is the best bet for Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets?

Nuggets +4.5 at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nuggets against Raptors. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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