Predictions › United States › Toronto Raptors vs Detroit Pistons
NBAFri 20 Nov, 19:30 United States time

Toronto Raptors vs Detroit Pistons prediction

Little Caesars Arena

Toronto RaptorsAway
112.0 : 114.9
projected points
Detroit PistonsHome
50%Raptors
50%Pistons
Eagle safe pickPistons +6.5
-346

Quick answer

Our prediction for Toronto Raptors vs Detroit Pistons is Toronto Raptors to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Toronto Raptors 112.0 and Detroit Pistons 114.9. Our best bet is Pistons +6.5 at -346.

Prediction
Toronto Raptors to win
Chance
50%
Projected score
Toronto Raptors 112, Detroit Pistons 115
Projected total
226.8 points
Best bet
Pistons +6.5 at -346

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pistons +6.5
78% chanceFair price -3462 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Detroit Pistons 50% and Toronto Raptors 50%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Detroit Pistons the favourite at -118, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Detroit Pistons won 3 of their last 5 and Toronto Raptors won 2 of their last 5. Detroit Pistons come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Detroit Pistons won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Toronto Raptors won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Detroit Pistons score 112.1 points a game and let in 108.0. Toronto Raptors score 116.5 and let in 113.0. Their recent games average 220.1 and 229.5 points in total, and the market line is 227.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Detroit Pistons won 3 and Toronto Raptors won 1. The last one ended Detroit Pistons 129, Toronto Raptors 125.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pistons +6.5 has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pistonsrest between games-5%
  • Raptorsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Toronto Raptors vs Detroit Pistons: Toronto Raptors shade it

The big picture

Detroit Pistons host Toronto Raptors in the NBA on Fri 20 Nov, 19:30 at Little Caesars Arena. Our prediction for Toronto Raptors vs Detroit Pistons is Toronto Raptors to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Toronto Raptors 112.0 and Detroit Pistons 114.9. Our best bet is Pistons +6.5 at -346.

Detroit Pistons form

Detroit Pistons have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2242 points scored and 2159 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Toronto Raptors form

Toronto Raptors have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2331 points scored and 2259 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Detroit Pistons won 3, Toronto Raptors won 1. Last time out it finished Detroit Pistons 129, Toronto Raptors 125.

Our call

We expect Toronto Raptors to score about 112.0 points and Detroit Pistons about 114.9. That points to Toronto Raptors to win. Our safest bet is Pistons +6.5 at -346.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PistonsRaptors
Games played2020
Wins1210
Losses810
Points scored22422331
Points conceded21592259
Scored per game112.1116.5
Conceded per game108.0113.0
Home record6W 4L7W 3L
Away record6W 4L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Pistons to win50%+102-118-8.5%
Raptors to win44%+130-102-13.8%
Pistons -1.550%+100-110-4.8%
Raptors +1.543%+131-110-17.5%
Over 227.5 points45%+120-110-13.3%
Under 227.5 points48%+110-110-9.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Pistons spreadCoversFair
Pistons -8.533%+205
Pistons -5.542%+139
Pistons -2.551%-105
Pistons +0.561%-155
Pistons +3.570%-229
Total pointsOverUnder
220.564%36%
223.557%43%
226.551%49%
229.544%56%
232.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pistons +3.5 wins if Pistons win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Toronto Raptors vs Detroit Pistons?

Our prediction for Toronto Raptors vs Detroit Pistons is Toronto Raptors to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Toronto Raptors 112.0 and Detroit Pistons 114.9. Our best bet is Pistons +6.5 at -346.

What is the projected score for Toronto Raptors vs Detroit Pistons?

We project Toronto Raptors 112.0 and Detroit Pistons 114.9, about 226.8 points in total.

How are Detroit Pistons playing?

Detroit Pistons have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2242 points scored and 2159 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Toronto Raptors playing?

Toronto Raptors have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2331 points scored and 2259 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Detroit Pistons and Toronto Raptors last met?

It ended Detroit Pistons 129, Toronto Raptors 125. In the last 4 meetings Detroit Pistons won 3 and Toronto Raptors won 1.

What is the best bet for Toronto Raptors vs Detroit Pistons?

Pistons +6.5 at -346, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pistons against Raptors. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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