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Predictions › Europa League › Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia
Europa LeagueThu 5 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia prediction

Estádio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa

TorreenseHome
1.65 : 0.96
expected goals
Ararat-ArmeniaAway
53%Torreense
26%Draw
21%Ararat-Armenia
Eagle safe pickTorreense or Draw
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia is Torreense to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Torreense or Draw at 1.26.

Prediction
Torreense to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Torreense 1.6, Ararat-Armenia 1.0
Best bet
Torreense or Draw at 1.26
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Torreense or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Torreense to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.321 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Torreense 53%, the draw 26% and Ararat-Armenia 21%. The bookmakers agree and make Torreense the favourite at 1.71.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Torreense took 3 points from their last 3 games and Ararat-Armenia took 0 from 3. Torreense come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Torreense score 1.3 goals a game and let in 2.3. Ararat-Armenia score 0.7 and let in 3.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Torreense games and 3 of Ararat-Armenia games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Torreense or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ararat-Armeniarecent form-1%
Torreense form D L W L WArarat-Armenia form D L L W DHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: Torreense are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Torreense host Ararat-Armenia in the Europa League on Thu 5 Nov, 20:00 at Estádio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa. Our prediction for Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia is Torreense to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Torreense or Draw at 1.26.

Torreense form

Torreense have 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 3 games, with 4 goals scored and 7 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 3 results read L, L, W, newest first.

Ararat-Armenia form

Ararat-Armenia have 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 3 games, with 2 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 3 results read L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Torreense to score about 1.6 goals and Ararat-Armenia about 1.0. That points to Torreense to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Torreense or Draw at 1.26. Our bold bet is Torreense to win and Over 2.5 at 3.32.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 3 games in all competitions.

TorreenseArarat-Armenia
Games played33
Wins10
Draws00
Losses23
Goals scored42
Goals conceded711
Scored per game1.30.7
Conceded per game2.33.7
Home record0W 0D 1L0W 0D 2L
Away record1W 0D 1L0W 0D 1L
Clean sheets0%0%
Both teams scored100%67%
Over 2.5 goals100%100%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Torreense to win49%2.041.71-15.8%
A Draw25%4.013.85-3.9%
Ararat-Armenia to win21%4.854.40-9.3%
Over 2.5 goals46%2.191.95-10.7%
Under 2.5 goals48%2.071.80-12.9%
Torreense -0.550%2.001.65-17.7%
Ararat-Armenia +0.544%2.272.00-11.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.07
Over 3.5 goals27%3.77
Both teams to score50%1.98
Torreense or Draw79%1.27
Ararat-Armenia or Draw47%2.13
Torreense to win and Over 2.531%3.18
Ararat-Armenia to win and Over 2.511%8.77
Torreense clean sheet38%2.60
Ararat-Armenia clean sheet19%5.21

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
1-011.5%
2-010.1%
2-19.6%
0-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?

Our prediction for Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia is Torreense to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Torreense or Draw at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Torreense to score 1.6 goals and Ararat-Armenia 1.0.

Will both teams score in Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 3 of Torreense last 3 games and 2 of Ararat-Armenia last 3.

How are Torreense playing?

Torreense have 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 3 games, with 4 goals scored and 7 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 3 results read L, L, W, newest first.

How are Ararat-Armenia playing?

Ararat-Armenia have 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 3 games, with 2 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 3 results read L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?

Torreense or Draw at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Torreense against Ararat-Armenia. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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