Predictions › Europa League › Torreense vs Sunderland

Europa LeagueThu 15 Oct, 16:45 UTC

Torreense vs Sunderland prediction

Estádio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa

TorreenseHome

1.07 : 2.27

expected goals

SunderlandAway

16%Torreense

20%Draw

64%Sunderland

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Torreense vs Sunderland is Sunderland to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction: Sunderland to win
Chance: 64%
Most likely score: 1-2
Expected goals: Torreense 1.1, Sunderland 2.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score: 59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1.212 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sunderland to win and Over 2.5

44% chanceFair price 2.251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Torreense 16%, the draw 20% and Sunderland 64%. The bookmakers agree and make Sunderland the favourite at 1.44.
2
Recent form
Torreense took 3 points from their last 1 games and Sunderland took 7 from 5. Sunderland come in with the better run.
3
Goals
Torreense score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.0. Sunderland score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Torreense games and 8 of Sunderland games in that run.
4
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Torreenserecent form+3%

Torreense form W L W D WSunderland form L W L W DHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Torreense vs Sunderland: Sunderland are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Torreense host Sunderland in the Europa League on Thu 15 Oct, 16:45 at Estádio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa. Our prediction for Torreense vs Sunderland is Sunderland to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Torreense form

Torreense have 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 1 games, with 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. Their last 1 results read W, newest first.

Sunderland form

Sunderland have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Torreense to score about 1.1 goals and Sunderland about 2.3. That points to Sunderland to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Sunderland to win and Over 2.5 at 2.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Torreense	Sunderland
Games played	1	20
Wins	1	8
Draws	0	4
Losses	0	8
Goals scored	2	23
Goals conceded	1	29
Scored per game	2.0	1.1
Conceded per game	1.0	1.4
Home record	n/a	5W 1D 4L
Away record	1W 0D 0L	3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets	0%	30%
Both teams scored	100%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	100%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Torreense to win	16%	6.32	6.00	-5.0%
A Draw	20%	5.07	4.70	-7.3%
Sunderland to win	64%	1.57	1.44	-8.3%
Over 3.5 goals	40%	2.52	2.20	-12.6%
Under 3.5 goals	55%	1.83	1.61	-12.1%
Torreense +1.5	54%	1.86	1.61	-13.5%
Sunderland -1.5	41%	2.46	2.05	-16.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	85%	1.17
Over 2.5 goals	65%	1.54
Over 3.5 goals	43%	2.33
Both teams to score	59%	1.68
Torreense or Draw	36%	2.77
Sunderland or Draw	84%	1.19
Torreense to win and Over 2.5	11%	9.27
Sunderland to win and Over 2.5	47%	2.12
Torreense clean sheet	10%	9.68
Sunderland clean sheet	34%	2.91

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.8%

0-29.1%

1-19.1%

0-17.5%

1-37.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Premier League

Premier League Panel Backs Controversial Referee Decisions

A Premier League panel has backed refereeing decisions in recent matches involving Manchester City and Everton.

30 Sept 2026

Premier League

Arteta Fuming Over Penalty Call Despite Arsenal's Two-Goal Win

Mikel Arteta lashed out at officials over a penalty decision against Arsenal, despite his side securing a 2-0 victory over Sunderland.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Torreense vs Sunderland?

Our prediction for Torreense vs Sunderland is Sunderland to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Torreense vs Sunderland?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-1. We expect Torreense to score 1.1 goals and Sunderland 2.3.

Will both teams score in Torreense vs Sunderland?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 1 of Torreense last 1 games and 10 of Sunderland last 20.

How are Torreense playing?

Torreense have 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 1 games, with 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. Their last 1 results read W, newest first.

How are Sunderland playing?

What is the best bet for Torreense vs Sunderland?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Torreense against Sunderland. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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