Predictions › United Kingdom › Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City
Premier LeagueMon 19 Oct, 20:00 United Kingdom time

Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City prediction

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Tottenham HotspurHome
2.01 : 1.02
expected goals
Coventry CityAway
60%Spurs
22%Draw
18%Coventry
Eagle safe pickTottenham Hotspur or Draw
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City is Tottenham Hotspur to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Tottenham Hotspur or Draw at 1/4.

Prediction
Tottenham Hotspur to win
Chance
60%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Tottenham Hotspur 2.0, Coventry City 1.0
Best bet
Tottenham Hotspur or Draw at 1/4
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Tottenham Hotspur or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Tottenham Hotspur to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 8/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tottenham Hotspur 60%, the draw 22% and Coventry City 18%. The bookmakers agree and make Tottenham Hotspur the favourite at 1/2.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tottenham Hotspur took 2 points from their last 5 games and Coventry City took 3 from 5. Coventry City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tottenham Hotspur won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Coventry City won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tottenham Hotspur score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.8. Coventry City score 1.8 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Tottenham Hotspur games and 13 of Coventry City games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Tottenham Hotspur or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Spursrecent form-4%
  • Coventryrecent form-4%
Spurs form L L D D LCoventry form W L L L LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City: Tottenham Hotspur are favourites

The big picture

Tottenham Hotspur host Coventry City in the Premier League on Mon 19 Oct, 20:00 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Our prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City is Tottenham Hotspur to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Tottenham Hotspur or Draw at 1/4.

Tottenham Hotspur form

Tottenham Hotspur have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Coventry City form

Coventry City have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Tottenham Hotspur to score about 2.0 goals and Coventry City about 1.0. That points to Tottenham Hotspur to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Tottenham Hotspur or Draw at 1/4. Our bold bet is Tottenham Hotspur to win and Over 2.5 at 8/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SpursCoventry
Games played2020
Wins511
Draws53
Losses106
Goals scored2435
Goals conceded3524
Scored per game1.21.8
Conceded per game1.81.2
Home record3W 3D 4L5W 1D 4L
Away record2W 2D 6L6W 2D 2L
Clean sheets20%35%
Both teams scored60%45%
Over 2.5 goals60%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Tottenham Hotspur to win56%4/51/2-17.8%
A Draw22%7/27/2-2.9%
Coventry City to win18%9/29/2+0.6%
Over 2.5 goals56%4/58/15-14.4%
Under 2.5 goals38%13/811/8-11.1%
Tottenham Hotspur -1.538%13/811/10-18.3%
Coventry City +1.555%4/54/7-14.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%2/9
Over 2.5 goals58%8/11
Over 3.5 goals36%9/5
Both teams to score56%4/5
Tottenham Hotspur or Draw82%2/9
Coventry City or Draw40%6/4
Tottenham Hotspur to win and Over 2.541%7/5
Coventry City to win and Over 2.511%8/1
Tottenham Hotspur clean sheet36%7/4
Coventry City clean sheet13%13/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.5%
2-110.0%
2-09.8%
1-09.1%
3-16.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?

Our prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City is Tottenham Hotspur to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Tottenham Hotspur or Draw at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Tottenham Hotspur to score 2.0 goals and Coventry City 1.0.

Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Tottenham Hotspur last 20 games and 9 of Coventry City last 20.

How are Tottenham Hotspur playing?

Tottenham Hotspur have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Coventry City playing?

Coventry City have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?

Tottenham Hotspur or Draw at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Spurs against Coventry. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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