Predictions › United Kingdom › Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace
Premier LeagueSat 31 Oct, 17:30 United Kingdom time

Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace prediction

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Tottenham HotspurHome
1.79 : 1.14
expected goals
Crystal PalaceAway
52%Spurs
25%Draw
23%C Palace
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace is Tottenham Hotspur to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Tottenham Hotspur to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Tottenham Hotspur 1.8, Crystal Palace 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Tottenham Hotspur to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tottenham Hotspur 52%, the draw 25% and Crystal Palace 23%. The bookmakers agree and make Tottenham Hotspur the favourite at 8/13.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tottenham Hotspur took 5 points from their last 5 games and Crystal Palace took 7 from 5. Crystal Palace come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tottenham Hotspur won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Crystal Palace won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tottenham Hotspur score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Crystal Palace score 1.5 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Tottenham Hotspur games and 16 of Crystal Palace games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Tottenham Hotspur won 1 and Crystal Palace won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Tottenham Hotspur 1, Crystal Palace 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Spursrecent form-3%
  • C Palacerecent form+1%
  • Spursrest between games-2%
  • Spursteam news-1%
Spurs form D D L L DC Palace form D L W D WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace: Tottenham Hotspur are favourites

The big picture

Tottenham Hotspur host Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Our prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace is Tottenham Hotspur to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Tottenham Hotspur form

Tottenham Hotspur have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Crystal Palace form

Crystal Palace have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Tottenham Hotspur won 1, Crystal Palace won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Tottenham Hotspur 1, Crystal Palace 3.

Our call

We expect Tottenham Hotspur to score about 1.8 goals and Crystal Palace about 1.1. That points to Tottenham Hotspur to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Tottenham Hotspur to win and Over 2.5 at 2/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SpursC Palace
Games played2020
Wins67
Draws64
Losses89
Goals scored2630
Goals conceded3237
Scored per game1.31.5
Conceded per game1.61.9
Home record4W 3D 3L5W 2D 3L
Away record2W 3D 5L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored60%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Tottenham Hotspur to win49%21/208/13-20.0%
A Draw24%10/33/1-3.5%
Crystal Palace to win23%7/24/1+8.1%
Over 2.5 goals53%10/118/13-15.6%
Under 2.5 goals43%5/46/5-4.6%
Tottenham Hotspur -0.552%10/118/15-19.5%
Crystal Palace +0.544%5/46/5-4.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1/4
Over 2.5 goals56%4/5
Over 3.5 goals34%2/1
Both teams to score57%8/11
Tottenham Hotspur or Draw77%3/10
Crystal Palace or Draw48%11/10
Tottenham Hotspur to win and Over 2.534%15/8
Crystal Palace to win and Over 2.515%6/1
Tottenham Hotspur clean sheet32%85/40
Crystal Palace clean sheet17%5/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
2-19.8%
1-08.9%
2-08.6%
1-26.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?

Our prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace is Tottenham Hotspur to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Tottenham Hotspur to score 1.8 goals and Crystal Palace 1.1.

Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Tottenham Hotspur last 20 games and 11 of Crystal Palace last 20.

How are Tottenham Hotspur playing?

Tottenham Hotspur have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Crystal Palace playing?

Crystal Palace have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Tottenham Hotspur and Crystal Palace last met?

It ended Tottenham Hotspur 1, Crystal Palace 3. In the last 2 meetings Tottenham Hotspur won 1 and Crystal Palace won 1.

What is the best bet for Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Spurs against C Palace. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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