Predictions › Conference League › Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg
Conference LeagueThu 5 Nov, 17:45 UTC

Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg prediction

Papara Park

TrabzonsporHome
2.47 : 0.72
expected goals
SC FreiburgAway
75%Trabzonspor
16%Draw
8%Freiburg
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg is Trabzonspor to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
Trabzonspor to win
Chance
75%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Trabzonspor 2.5, SC Freiburg 0.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Trabzonspor to win and both score
30% chanceFair price 3.351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Trabzonspor 75%, the draw 16% and SC Freiburg 8%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Trabzonspor took 15 points from their last 5 games and SC Freiburg took 6 from 5. Trabzonspor come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Trabzonspor won 7 of their last 10 games at home. SC Freiburg won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Trabzonspor score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.0. SC Freiburg score 1.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Trabzonspor games and 17 of SC Freiburg games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Trabzonsporrecent form+6%
  • Trabzonsporrest between games-5%
  • Freiburgrest between games-5%
Trabzonspor form D W W W WFreiburg form D L L W WHome edge in this league 36% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg: Trabzonspor are favourites

The big picture

Trabzonspor host SC Freiburg in the Conference League on Thu 5 Nov, 17:45 at Papara Park. Our prediction for Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg is Trabzonspor to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Trabzonspor form

Trabzonspor have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

SC Freiburg form

SC Freiburg have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Trabzonspor to score about 2.5 goals and SC Freiburg about 0.7. That points to Trabzonspor to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Trabzonspor to win and both score at 3.35.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TrabzonsporFreiburg
Games played2020
Wins1211
Draws42
Losses47
Goals scored3839
Goals conceded2031
Scored per game1.91.9
Conceded per game1.01.6
Home record7W 2D 1L8W 1D 2L
Away record5W 2D 3L3W 1D 5L
Clean sheets35%20%
Both teams scored55%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%85%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.62
Over 3.5 goals40%2.53
Both teams to score47%2.11
Trabzonspor or Draw92%1.09
SC Freiburg or Draw25%4.06
Trabzonspor to win and Over 2.553%1.88
SC Freiburg to win and Over 2.55%20.91
Trabzonspor clean sheet49%2.05
SC Freiburg clean sheet8%11.86

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-012.6%
3-010.4%
1-09.7%
2-19.0%
1-17.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg?

Our prediction for Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg is Trabzonspor to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 1-0. We expect Trabzonspor to score 2.5 goals and SC Freiburg 0.7.

Will both teams score in Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Trabzonspor last 20 games and 13 of SC Freiburg last 20.

How are Trabzonspor playing?

Trabzonspor have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are SC Freiburg playing?

SC Freiburg have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Trabzonspor against Freiburg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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