Predictions › Norway › Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt
EliteserienSun 8 Nov, 13:30 Norway time

Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt prediction

Romssa Arena

TromsoHome
1.29 : 1.42
expected goals
Bodo/GlimtAway
34%Tromso
27%Draw
39%Bodo/Glimt
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt is Bodo/Glimt to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Bodo/Glimt to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Tromso 1.3, Bodo/Glimt 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.741 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tromso 34%, the draw 27% and Bodo/Glimt 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tromso took 5 points from their last 5 games and Bodo/Glimt took 9 from 5. Bodo/Glimt come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tromso won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Bodo/Glimt won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tromso score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. Bodo/Glimt score 2.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Tromso games and 15 of Bodo/Glimt games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Tromso won 0 and Bodo/Glimt won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Bodo/Glimt 5, Tromso 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bodo/Glimtrecent form+3%
Tromso form D D D W LBodo/Glimt form D L W W WHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt: Bodo/Glimt shade it

The big picture

Tromso host Bodo/Glimt in the Eliteserien on Sun 8 Nov, 13:30 at Romssa Arena. Our prediction for Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt is Bodo/Glimt to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Tromso form

Tromso have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, L, newest first.

Bodo/Glimt form

Bodo/Glimt have 15 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Tromso won 0, Bodo/Glimt won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Bodo/Glimt 5, Tromso 0.

Our call

We expect Tromso to score about 1.3 goals and Bodo/Glimt about 1.4. That points to Bodo/Glimt to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.74.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TromsoBodo/Glimt
Games played2020
Wins715
Draws71
Losses64
Goals scored3348
Goals conceded3323
Scored per game1.62.4
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record4W 4D 1L9W 0D 1L
Away record3W 3D 5L6W 1D 3L
Clean sheets30%40%
Both teams scored55%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.96
Over 3.5 goals29%3.47
Both teams to score56%1.79
Tromso or Draw61%1.65
Bodo/Glimt or Draw66%1.50
Tromso to win and Over 2.520%4.98
Bodo/Glimt to win and Over 2.524%4.18
Tromso clean sheet24%4.13
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet27%3.64

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
0-18.7%
1-28.6%
2-17.9%
1-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt?

Our prediction for Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt is Bodo/Glimt to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Tromso to score 1.3 goals and Bodo/Glimt 1.4.

Will both teams score in Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Tromso last 20 games and 10 of Bodo/Glimt last 20.

How are Tromso playing?

Tromso have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Bodo/Glimt playing?

Bodo/Glimt have 15 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Tromso and Bodo/Glimt last met?

It ended Bodo/Glimt 5, Tromso 0. In the last 1 meeting Tromso won 0 and Bodo/Glimt won 1.

What is the best bet for Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tromso against Bodo/Glimt. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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